Compendium › Oracle Calm Dip › AAPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AAPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Oracle Calm Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

-0.09%
Last Month Return
$20,288.38
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$20,306.58
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:08

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

77
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
10.9/15
Profit Factor
11.1/15
Consistency
8.6/10
Raw Quality 82.3/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 76.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-77 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,306.58
Current Value
$20,288.38
Period P&L
$-18.21
Max Drawdown
-4.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-1.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
23.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$121,375.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-18.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-18.21
Gross Return
-0.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Oracle Calm Dip had $20,306.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $311.81 65 $20,267.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $309.58 65 $20,122.70 $20,161.64 $-144.95
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET $316.52 63 $19,940.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:10am ET $323.41 63 $20,374.52 $20,595.71 +$434.07
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $341.48 60 $20,488.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET $336.36 60 $20,181.47 $20,288.38 $-307.33
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,288.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,288.38
Total Return: +102.88%
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