AAPL Oracle Calm Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 31 trades in period
+6.24%
Last Year Return
$20,288.38
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$19,096.78
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
77
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
10.9/15
Profit Factor
11.1/15
Consistency
8.6/10
Raw Quality
82.3/100
× Confidence 0.93
= 76.6
30-Day Momentum
0
-0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-77 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,270
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$19,096.78
Current Value
$20,288.38
Period P&L
$1,191.59
Max Drawdown
-4.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
20 /
11
Best Trade
+3.10%
Worst Trade
-1.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,210,378.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,191.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,191.59
Gross Return
+6.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.24%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Oracle Calm Dip had $19,096.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 12:05pm ET | $251.52 | 75 | $18,864.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $253.05 | 75 | $18,978.63 | $19,211.41 |
+$114.63 (+0.6%) |
TRAILING_STOP
21.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 3:15pm ET | $255.65 | 75 | $19,173.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:15pm ET | $253.84 | 75 | $19,038.00 | $19,075.66 |
$-135.75 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:55pm ET | $257.44 | 74 | $19,050.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:55pm ET | $255.62 | 74 | $18,915.51 | $18,940.82 |
$-134.84 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:45am ET | $256.00 | 73 | $18,688.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:45am ET | $257.47 | 73 | $18,794.95 | $19,047.77 |
+$106.95 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $255.00 | 74 | $18,870.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $255.12 | 74 | $18,878.88 | $19,056.65 |
+$8.88 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:05pm ET | $248.53 | 76 | $18,887.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:05pm ET | $248.28 | 76 | $18,869.28 | $19,038.03 |
$-18.62 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 11:35am ET | $249.60 | 76 | $18,969.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 11:35am ET | $248.44 | 76 | $18,881.44 | $18,949.87 |
$-88.16 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 11:30am ET | $258.55 | 73 | $18,874.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 11:30am ET | $259.75 | 73 | $18,961.75 | $19,037.47 |
+$87.60 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 3:05pm ET | $263.49 | 72 | $18,971.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:30am ET | $265.71 | 72 | $19,131.47 | $19,197.66 |
+$160.18 (+0.8%) |
TRAILING_STOP
2.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:40pm ET | $268.97 | 71 | $19,096.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:30am ET | $270.05 | 71 | $19,173.76 | $19,274.55 |
+$76.89 (+0.4%) |
TRAILING_STOP
19.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:40am ET | $270.71 | 71 | $19,220.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 12:55pm ET | $271.80 | 71 | $19,298.10 | $19,352.59 |
+$78.04 (+0.4%) |
TRAILING_STOP
3.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:10am ET | $270.07 | 71 | $19,174.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $273.00 | 71 | $19,382.87 | $19,560.48 |
+$207.90 (+1.1%) |
TRAILING_STOP
22.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $276.86 | 70 | $19,380.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $277.61 | 70 | $19,432.35 | $19,612.63 |
+$52.15 (+0.3%) |
TRAILING_STOP
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 12:10pm ET | $285.22 | 68 | $19,394.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $287.18 | 68 | $19,528.03 | $19,745.70 |
+$133.07 (+0.7%) |
TRAILING_STOP
21.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 3:05pm ET | $277.78 | 71 | $19,722.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:05pm ET | $279.48 | 71 | $19,842.73 | $19,866.05 |
+$120.35 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $274.69 | 72 | $19,777.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $278.63 | 72 | $20,061.42 | $20,149.79 |
+$283.74 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $270.69 | 74 | $20,031.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $269.07 | 74 | $19,911.17 | $20,029.93 |
$-119.86 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $263.89 | 75 | $19,791.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $262.23 | 75 | $19,667.25 | $19,905.43 |
$-124.50 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:20am ET | $256.31 | 77 | $19,735.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET | $257.31 | 77 | $19,812.64 | $19,982.20 |
+$76.77 (+0.4%) |
TRAILING_STOP
50m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET | $259.70 | 76 | $19,737.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $260.51 | 76 | $19,798.83 | $20,043.83 |
+$61.63 (+0.3%) |
TRAILING_STOP
18.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $259.21 | 77 | $19,959.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $255.32 | 77 | $19,659.79 | $19,744.44 |
$-299.39 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $254.24 | 77 | $19,576.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $255.28 | 77 | $19,656.34 | $19,824.30 |
+$79.86 (+0.4%) |
TRAILING_STOP
2.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $259.67 | 76 | $19,734.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $255.78 | 76 | $19,438.90 | $19,528.28 |
$-296.02 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $312.17 | 62 | $19,354.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $321.83 | 62 | $19,953.63 | $20,127.37 |
+$599.09 (+3.1%) |
TRAILING_STOP
5.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $324.82 | 61 | $19,814.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $327.95 | 61 | $20,005.07 | $20,318.42 |
+$191.05 (+1.0%) |
TRAILING_STOP
3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:40pm ET | $324.53 | 62 | $20,120.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $319.66 | 62 | $19,819.04 | $20,016.61 |
$-301.81 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $332.40 | 60 | $19,944.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $335.43 | 60 | $20,126.06 | $20,198.67 |
+$182.06 (+0.9%) |
TRAILING_STOP
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:45pm ET | $338.65 | 59 | $19,980.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.48 | 59 | $20,088.27 | $20,306.59 |
+$107.91 (+0.5%) |
TRAILING_STOP
18.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $311.81 | 65 | $20,267.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET | $309.58 | 65 | $20,122.70 | $20,161.64 |
$-144.95 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $316.52 | 63 | $19,940.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $323.41 | 63 | $20,374.52 | $20,595.71 |
+$434.07 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $341.48 | 60 | $20,488.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $336.36 | 60 | $20,181.47 | $20,288.38 |
$-307.33 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,288.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,288.38
Total Return:
+102.88%