Compendium › Penelope Swing › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 8 trades in period

-10.49%
Last Year Return
$8,655.42
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$9,669.33
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:04

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.6/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,766
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,669.33
Current Value
$8,655.42
Period P&L
$-1,013.90
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+1.06%
Worst Trade
-5.34%
Avg Trade Return
-1.37%
Avg Hold Time
12.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$145,042.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,013.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,013.90
Gross Return
-10.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $9,669.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 11:05am ET $208.78 46 $9,603.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 11:30am ET $209.96 46 $9,657.93 $9,723.30 +$53.98
(+0.6%) 		RESISTANCE
24m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $198.07 49 $9,705.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:10am ET $198.33 49 $9,717.93 $9,735.79 +$12.49
(+0.1%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.66 45 $9,524.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $200.63 45 $9,028.35 $9,239.44 $-496.35
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $489.44 18 $8,810.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $482.61 18 $8,687.07 $9,116.51 $-122.93
(-1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $438.38 20 $8,767.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $443.04 20 $8,860.70 $9,209.71 +$93.20
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:20am ET $510.10 18 $9,181.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:25am ET $506.69 18 $9,120.42 $9,148.33 $-61.38
(-0.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET $480.90 19 $9,137.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $455.23 19 $8,649.37 $8,660.51 $-487.82
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:15am ET $488.10 17 $8,297.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:20am ET $487.80 17 $8,292.61 $8,655.42 $-5.09
(-0.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,655.42
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,344.58
Total Return: -13.45%
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