Compendium › Penelope Swing › AMC
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMC
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+11.74%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,683.88
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,456.72
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 28.6/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 18.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,456.72
Current Value
$11,683.88
Period P&L
$1,227.15
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+17.68%
Worst Trade
-5.39%
Avg Trade Return
+4.22%
Avg Hold Time
11.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,026.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,227.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,227.15
Gross Return
+11.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,456.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $1.76 5,944 $10,455.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $2.07 5,944 $12,304.08 $12,305.31 +$1,848.58
(+17.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:55am ET $2.35 5,239 $12,303.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $2.22 5,239 $11,641.06 $11,642.58 $-662.73
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET $2.79 4,172 $11,640.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET $2.80 4,172 $11,681.60 $11,683.88 +$41.30
(+0.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,683.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,683.88
Total Return: +16.84%
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