Compendium › Penelope Swing › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 6 trades in period

-1.29%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,462.71
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,599.11
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
6.2/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 18.3/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 13.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,985
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,599.11
Current Value
$10,462.71
Period P&L
$-136.40
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+11.69%
Worst Trade
-6.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$121,400.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-136.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-136.40
Gross Return
-1.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,599.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $6.39 1,660 $10,599.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $6.06 1,660 $10,051.47 $10,051.48 $-547.63
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET $6.16 1,633 $10,051.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $6.09 1,633 $9,953.13 $9,953.50 $-97.98
(-1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $5.14 1,938 $9,951.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $4.80 1,938 $9,312.09 $9,313.96 $-639.54
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $6.07 1,534 $9,311.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $6.78 1,534 $10,400.37 $10,402.79 +$1,088.83
(+11.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $6.94 1,498 $10,396.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $6.98 1,498 $10,456.04 $10,462.71 +$59.92
(+0.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $4.89 2,141 $10,458.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $4.89 2,141 $10,458.79 $10,462.71 $0.00
(+0.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,462.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$462.71
Total Return: +4.63%
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