Compendium › Penelope Swing › UNIUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNIUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-4.21%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,777.96
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$12,166.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.6 oversold
20d Trend
-49.9%
5d Trend
-45.7%
EMA20 Dist
-41.0%
ATR%
16.2%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 30.3/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 16.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,807
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,166.00
Current Value
$11,777.96
Period P&L
$-512.39
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+8.45%
Worst Trade
-5.45%
Avg Trade Return
-0.71%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$75,097.71
Estimated Fees
$187.74
Gross P&L
$-512.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-700.13
Gross Return
-4.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.75%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNIUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $12,166.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $2.95 4,128 $12,166.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 8:05pm ET $3.20 4,128 $13,193.95 $13,130.55 +$964.54
(+8.4%) 		RESISTANCE
54m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET $3.80 3,453 $13,130.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $3.60 3,453 $12,414.61 $12,414.61 $-779.80
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $3.53 3,518 $12,414.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 6:50pm ET $3.35 3,518 $11,777.96 $11,777.96 $-697.13
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,777.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,777.96
Total Return: +17.78%
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