SOXL Penelope Swing's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 34 trades in period
-13.40%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,963.41
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$9,195.24
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
8
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
8.4/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 8.0
30-Day Momentum
51
+12.2%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
6.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.6
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+43 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,195.24
Current Value
$7,963.41
Period P&L
$-1,231.81
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
19 /
15
Best Trade
+9.49%
Worst Trade
-5.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$585,255.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,231.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,231.81
Gross Return
-13.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $9,195.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $52.22 | 176 | $9,191.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $51.72 | 176 | $9,102.72 | $9,106.34 |
$-88.88 (-1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $43.76 | 208 | $9,102.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $43.75 | 208 | $9,100.00 | $9,104.26 |
$-2.08 (-0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.12 | 193 | $9,094.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.97 | 193 | $9,065.21 | $9,075.31 |
$-28.95 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $119.17 | 76 | $9,056.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $120.27 | 76 | $9,140.28 | $9,158.67 |
+$83.36 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $107.82 | 84 | $9,056.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $106.09 | 84 | $8,911.56 | $9,013.77 |
$-144.90 (-1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.53 | 51 | $8,850.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $174.87 | 51 | $8,918.37 | $9,082.11 |
+$68.34 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.77 | 54 | $8,951.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $166.11 | 54 | $8,969.94 | $9,100.47 |
+$18.36 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $158.00 | 57 | $9,006.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $161.90 | 57 | $9,228.31 | $9,322.78 |
+$222.31 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $138.54 | 67 | $9,282.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $136.84 | 67 | $9,168.28 | $9,208.88 |
$-113.90 (-1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $217.37 | 42 | $9,129.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $217.49 | 42 | $9,134.58 | $9,213.92 |
+$5.04 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $259.11 | 35 | $9,068.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $282.77 | 35 | $9,896.95 | $10,042.02 |
+$828.10 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.50 | 43 | $9,825.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $215.52 | 43 | $9,267.30 | $9,483.82 |
$-558.20 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $211.17 | 44 | $9,291.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $217.07 | 44 | $9,551.08 | $9,743.42 |
+$259.60 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $190.67 | 51 | $9,724.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $191.85 | 51 | $9,784.35 | $9,803.60 |
+$60.18 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $252.87 | 38 | $9,609.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $252.99 | 38 | $9,613.62 | $9,808.16 |
+$4.56 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $236.17 | 41 | $9,682.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET | $237.96 | 41 | $9,756.36 | $9,881.55 |
+$73.39 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $234.40 | 42 | $9,844.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $240.57 | 42 | $10,103.94 | $10,140.69 |
+$259.14 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.13 | 46 | $9,987.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $205.77 | 46 | $9,465.42 | $9,618.13 |
$-522.56 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.84 | 41 | $9,587.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $221.29 | 41 | $9,072.89 | $9,103.58 |
$-514.55 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.36 | 54 | $9,091.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $163.09 | 54 | $8,806.77 | $8,818.91 |
$-284.67 (-3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $180.71 | 48 | $8,674.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $184.74 | 48 | $8,867.52 | $9,012.11 |
+$193.20 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $168.86 | 53 | $8,949.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $158.84 | 53 | $8,418.26 | $8,480.79 |
$-531.32 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $147.01 | 57 | $8,379.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $138.70 | 57 | $7,905.73 | $8,007.23 |
$-473.55 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $141.82 | 56 | $7,941.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:05pm ET | $133.63 | 56 | $7,483.25 | $7,548.85 |
$-458.39 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.00 | 68 | $7,548.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $105.34 | 68 | $7,163.12 | $7,163.96 |
$-384.89 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $102.37 | 69 | $7,063.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $96.68 | 69 | $6,670.97 | $6,771.40 |
$-392.56 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $112.69 | 60 | $6,761.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET | $115.56 | 60 | $6,933.60 | $6,943.30 |
+$171.90 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $131.66 | 52 | $6,846.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $133.41 | 52 | $6,937.32 | $7,034.04 |
+$90.74 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.85 | 52 | $7,012.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $135.86 | 52 | $7,064.76 | $7,086.60 |
+$52.56 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $120.61 | 58 | $6,995.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $120.82 | 58 | $7,007.85 | $7,099.07 |
+$12.47 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.43 | 64 | $7,003.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.81 | 64 | $7,667.87 | $7,763.42 |
+$664.35 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $103.26 | 75 | $7,744.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $105.51 | 75 | $7,913.25 | $7,932.17 |
+$168.75 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $115.81 | 68 | $7,875.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $117.36 | 68 | $7,980.48 | $8,037.57 |
+$105.40 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.44 | 79 | $8,014.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $100.50 | 79 | $7,939.89 | $7,963.41 |
$-74.16 (-0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,963.41
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,036.59
Total Return:
-20.37%