Compendium › Penelope Swing › UNIUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNIUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 8 trades in period

+9.26%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,332.16
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$11,653.61
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.6 oversold
20d Trend
-49.9%
5d Trend
-45.7%
EMA20 Dist
-41.0%
ATR%
16.2%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.2/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 35.9/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 29.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,044
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,653.61
Current Value
$13,332.16
Period P&L
$1,079.19
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+11.68%
Worst Trade
-0.87%
Avg Trade Return
+1.63%
Avg Hold Time
1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$190,003.16
Estimated Fees
$475.01
Gross P&L
$1,079.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$604.18
Gross Return
+9.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.18%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNIUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $11,653.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:05am ET $3.34 3,523 $11,777.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:10am ET $3.37 3,523 $11,875.55 $11,875.55 +$38.46
(+0.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:15am ET $3.34 3,559 $11,875.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:20am ET $3.31 3,559 $11,772.71 $11,772.71 $-161.97
(-0.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:25am ET $3.32 3,550 $11,772.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:30am ET $3.31 3,550 $11,758.87 $11,758.87 $-72.67
(-0.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:35am ET $3.35 3,511 $11,758.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:40am ET $3.34 3,511 $11,727.62 $11,727.62 $-89.97
(-0.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:45am ET $3.32 3,529 $11,727.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:50am ET $3.31 3,529 $11,675.38 $11,675.38 $-110.74
(-0.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:55am ET $3.26 3,580 $11,675.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 8:00am ET $3.27 3,580 $11,699.00 $11,699.00 $-34.81
(+0.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 8:05am ET $3.23 3,623 $11,699.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 8:10am ET $3.29 3,623 $11,937.39 $11,937.39 +$179.30
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET $8.82 1,353 $11,937.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 6:15pm ET $9.85 1,353 $13,332.16 $13,332.16 +$1,331.59
(+11.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,332.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,332.16
Total Return: +33.32%
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