Compendium › Penelope Swing › AMC
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMC
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 27 trades executed

+6.28%
2 Years Return
$11,683.88
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,993.41
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:55:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 28.6/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 18.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
67,476
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,993.41
Current Value
$11,683.88
Total P&L
$690.46
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+17.68%
Worst Trade
-5.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
10.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$308,762.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$690.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$690.46
Gross Return
+6.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,993.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 9:40am ET $4.30 2,556 $10,990.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 11:05am ET $4.40 2,556 $11,246.40 $11,249.01 +$255.60
(+2.3%) 		RESISTANCE
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 6, 2024 9:30am ET $4.80 2,345 $11,244.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 6, 2024 11:25am ET $4.75 2,345 $11,127.03 $11,131.76 $-117.25
(-1.0%) 		RESISTANCE
1.9h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 9:40am ET $3.67 3,033 $11,131.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 12:15pm ET $3.53 3,033 $10,705.58 $10,706.23 $-425.53
(-3.8%) 		RESISTANCE
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 9:35am ET $2.82 3,802 $10,704.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:15am ET $2.89 3,802 $10,968.77 $10,970.09 +$263.86
(+2.5%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $1.64 6,692 $10,969.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET $1.64 6,692 $10,974.88 $10,975.44 +$5.35
(+0.1%) 		RESISTANCE
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1.37 8,011 $10,975.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET $1.38 8,011 $11,015.13 $11,015.50 +$40.05
(+0.4%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:20am ET $1.91 5,752 $11,015.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:25am ET $1.89 5,752 $10,879.33 $10,879.75 $-135.75
(-1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $1.88 5,786 $10,878.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1.84 5,786 $10,646.24 $10,647.73 $-232.02
(-2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET $1.82 5,850 $10,647.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1.83 5,850 $10,676.25 $10,676.98 +$29.25
(+0.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $2.06 5,189 $10,675.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET $2.01 5,189 $10,403.95 $10,405.60 $-271.38
(-2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:55am ET $2.04 5,113 $10,404.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:00am ET $2.05 5,113 $10,456.09 $10,456.73 +$51.13
(+0.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $1.76 5,944 $10,455.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $2.07 5,944 $12,304.08 $12,305.31 +$1,848.58
(+17.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:55am ET $2.35 5,239 $12,303.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $2.22 5,239 $11,641.06 $11,642.58 $-662.73
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET $2.79 4,172 $11,640.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET $2.80 4,172 $11,681.60 $11,683.88 +$41.30
(+0.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,683.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,683.88
Total Return: +16.84%
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