Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:45

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.7 neutral
20d Trend
+13.0%
5d Trend
-4.5%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
5.5%
Range Pos
67%
Bounce Ratio
1.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
69,741
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$7,748.61
Current Value
$7,063.35
Total P&L
$-685.26
Max Drawdown
-34.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.49

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+4.26%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
-1.77%
Avg Hold Time
4.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$74,757.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-685.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-685.26
Gross Return
-8.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GME Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $7,748.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET $28.44 272 $7,735.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 10:10am ET $29.65 272 $8,064.99 $8,077.95 +$329.34
(+4.3%)
RESISTANCE
18.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 9:30am ET $25.72 314 $8,076.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2025 11:25am ET $24.22 314 $7,603.51 $7,605.38 $-472.57
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 10:15am ET $32.97 230 $7,583.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 10:50am ET $31.24 230 $7,184.05 $7,206.33 $-399.05
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET $23.02 313 $7,203.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 11:55am ET $22.79 313 $7,132.71 $7,135.15 $-71.18
(-1.0%)
RESISTANCE
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $19.84 359 $7,122.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $19.64 359 $7,050.76 $7,063.35 $-71.80
(-1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,063.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,936.65
Total Return: -29.37%
Back to Penelope Swing