Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.8/35
Total Return
21.1/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 61.5/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 45.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
208,464
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
725 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to API rate limits during data collection or exchange maintenance. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2024-10-08 (60 candles)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$69,916.66
Current Value
$44,734.67
Total P&L
$-25,181.93
Max Drawdown
-51.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
56
Winners / Losers
30 / 26
Best Trade
+7.65%
Worst Trade
-28.93%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
1.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$7,751,682.37
Estimated Fees
$19,379.21
Gross P&L
$-25,181.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-44,561.14
Gross Return
-36.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-63.73%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 725 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $69,916.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2024 11:30pm ET $0.00000868 8,054,909,680 $69,916.62
🔴 SELL May 6, 2024 1:35am ET $0.00000863 8,054,909,680 $69,513.87 $69,165.29 $-751.32
(-0.6%)
RESISTANCE
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2024 2:00pm ET $0.00001019 6,787,565,684 $69,165.29
🔴 SELL May 13, 2024 4:05pm ET $0.00001022 6,787,565,684 $69,368.92 $69,022.59 $-142.71
(+0.3%)
RESISTANCE
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2024 11:40am ET $0.00001051 6,567,325,000 $69,022.59
🔴 SELL May 15, 2024 2:15pm ET $0.00001039 6,567,325,000 $68,234.51 $67,891.36 $-1,131.22
(-1.1%)
RESISTANCE
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY May 16, 2024 5:25am ET $0.00001060 6,404,845,662 $67,891.36
🔴 SELL May 16, 2024 7:20am ET $0.00001043 6,404,845,662 $66,802.54 $66,465.81 $-1,425.56
(-1.6%)
RESISTANCE
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY May 16, 2024 12:20pm ET $0.00000977 6,803,050,716 $66,465.81
🔴 SELL May 16, 2024 2:00pm ET $0.00001010 6,803,050,716 $68,710.81 $68,372.87 +$1,907.07
(+3.4%)
RESISTANCE
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2024 12:15pm ET $0.00000909 7,521,767,953 $68,372.87
🔴 SELL May 19, 2024 2:20pm ET $0.00000910 7,521,767,953 $68,448.09 $68,106.04 $-266.83
(+0.1%)
RESISTANCE
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY May 23, 2024 9:20pm ET $0.00001473 4,623,627,697 $68,106.04
🔴 SELL May 23, 2024 11:05pm ET $0.00001455 4,623,627,697 $67,273.78 $66,935.33 $-1,170.70
(-1.2%)
RESISTANCE
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY May 30, 2024 3:50am ET $0.00001316 5,086,271,538 $66,935.33
🔴 SELL May 30, 2024 4:55am ET $0.00001358 5,086,271,538 $69,071.57 $68,731.55 +$1,796.22
(+3.2%)
RESISTANCE
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2024 12:30pm ET $0.00001444 4,759,802,648 $68,731.55
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2024 2:00pm ET $0.00001448 4,759,802,648 $68,921.94 $68,577.81 $-153.74
(+0.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 2:00pm ET $0.00001186 5,782,277,286 $68,577.81
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 2:10pm ET $0.00001124 5,782,277,286 $64,992.80 $64,658.87 $-3,918.94
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2024 9:40pm ET $0.00000980 6,597,843,896 $64,658.87
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2024 10:55pm ET $0.00001055 6,597,843,896 $69,607.25 $69,271.59 +$4,612.72
(+7.7%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2024 9:30pm ET $0.00000943 7,345,873,573 $69,271.59
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2024 10:50pm ET $0.00000978 7,345,873,573 $71,842.64 $71,489.86 +$2,218.27
(+3.7%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 4, 2024 8:00pm ET $0.00000856 8,351,618,921 $71,489.86
🔴 SELL Jul 4, 2024 9:45pm ET $0.00000859 8,351,618,921 $71,740.41 $71,382.33 $-107.53
(+0.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 4, 2024 10:55pm ET $0.00000793 9,001,554,965 $71,382.33
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 12:25am ET $0.00000821 9,001,554,965 $73,902.77 $73,539.55 +$2,157.22
(+3.5%)
RESISTANCE
1.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 11:05am ET $0.00000960 7,660,370,158 $73,539.55
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 12:30pm ET $0.00000973 7,660,370,158 $74,535.40 $74,165.21 +$625.66
(+1.4%)
RESISTANCE
1.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 7:00am ET $0.00000604 12,279,008,982 $74,165.21
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 8:00am ET $0.00000635 12,279,008,982 $77,971.71 $77,591.36 +$3,426.15
(+5.1%)
RESISTANCE
1h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2024 6:10pm ET $0.00000758 10,236,327,801 $77,591.36
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2024 7:25pm ET $0.00000774 10,236,327,801 $79,229.18 $78,837.13 +$1,245.76
(+2.1%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 11:05am ET $0.00001010 7,805,656,022 $78,837.13
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2024 12:05pm ET $0.00001040 7,805,656,022 $81,178.82 $80,778.78 +$1,941.66
(+3.0%)
RESISTANCE
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2024 7:30am ET $0.00000999 8,085,964,240 $80,778.78
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2024 10:15am ET $0.00001002 8,085,964,240 $81,021.36 $80,616.86 $-161.92
(+0.3%)
RESISTANCE
2.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 25, 2024 7:20pm ET $0.00000855 9,428,872,670 $80,616.86
🔴 SELL Oct 25, 2024 8:55pm ET $0.00000883 9,428,872,670 $83,256.95 $82,847.26 +$2,230.40
(+3.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 8:35pm ET $0.00001111 7,456,999,204 $82,847.26
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 10:55pm ET $0.00001085 7,456,999,204 $80,908.44 $80,499.05 $-2,348.21
(-2.3%)
RESISTANCE
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 8, 2024 7:10am ET $0.00001081 7,446,720,824 $80,499.05
🔴 SELL Nov 8, 2024 8:50am ET $0.00001100 7,446,720,824 $81,913.93 $81,507.90 +$1,008.84
(+1.8%)
RESISTANCE
1.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 5:00am ET $0.00001361 5,988,824,145 $81,507.90
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 5:45am ET $0.00001259 5,988,824,145 $75,399.30 $75,007.03 $-6,500.87
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
24 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 10:10pm ET $0.00002217 3,383,266,937 $75,007.03
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 11:40pm ET $0.00002367 3,383,266,937 $80,081.93 $79,694.21 +$4,687.18
(+6.8%)
RESISTANCE
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 1:50am ET $0.00002200 3,622,463,910 $79,694.21
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 3:25am ET $0.00002281 3,622,463,910 $82,628.40 $82,222.60 +$2,528.39
(+3.7%)
RESISTANCE
1.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 5:55am ET $0.00002157 3,811,895,932 $82,222.60
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 7:45am ET $0.00002137 3,811,895,932 $81,460.22 $81,051.01 $-1,171.59
(-0.9%)
RESISTANCE
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 9:40am ET $0.00002095 3,868,783,248 $81,051.01
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 11:20am ET $0.00002123 3,868,783,248 $82,134.27 $81,726.31 +$675.30
(+1.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 11:40pm ET $0.00001969 4,150,650,338 $81,726.31
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 1:15am ET $0.00002000 4,150,650,338 $83,013.01 $82,601.16 +$874.85
(+1.6%)
RESISTANCE
1.6h held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 16, 2024 9:10pm ET $0.00001964 4,205,761,634 $82,601.16
🔴 SELL Nov 16, 2024 10:30pm ET $0.00002041 4,205,761,634 $85,839.59 $85,418.49 +$2,817.33
(+3.9%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 4:20pm ET $0.00001919 4,451,198,180 $85,418.49
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 5:45pm ET $0.00001944 4,451,198,180 $86,531.29 $86,101.42 +$682.93
(+1.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 3:45pm ET $0.00002505 3,437,182,361 $86,101.42
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $0.00002328 3,437,182,361 $80,017.61 $79,602.31 $-6,499.11
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
32 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 9:00pm ET $0.00002469 3,224,070,790 $79,602.31
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 9:55pm ET $0.00002312 3,224,070,790 $74,540.52 $74,155.16 $-5,447.15
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
33 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 10:00pm ET $0.00002323 3,192,215,222 $74,155.16
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 11:35pm ET $0.00002330 3,192,215,222 $74,378.61 $74,007.28 $-147.88
(+0.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 10:40am ET $0.00002354 3,143,894,657 $74,007.28
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 12:50pm ET $0.00002222 3,143,894,657 $69,857.34 $69,497.68 $-4,509.60
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 9:10pm ET $0.00001829 3,799,763,682 $69,497.68
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 10:05pm ET $0.00001895 3,799,763,682 $72,005.52 $71,651.76 +$2,154.09
(+3.6%)
RESISTANCE
54m held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 1:15pm ET $0.00001768 4,052,701,571 $71,651.76
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 3:05pm ET $0.00001679 4,052,701,571 $68,044.86 $67,695.62 $-3,956.15
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Jan 19, 2025 4:20am ET $0.00001643 4,120,244,541 $67,695.62
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2025 5:15am ET $0.00001662 4,120,244,541 $68,478.46 $68,138.03 +$442.41
(+1.2%)
RESISTANCE
54m held
38 🟢 BUY Jan 19, 2025 5:45pm ET $0.00001609 4,234,806,033 $68,138.03
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2025 7:45pm ET $0.00001515 4,234,806,033 $64,157.31 $63,826.57 $-4,311.46
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2025 4:00pm ET $0.00001483 4,303,882,202 $63,826.57
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2025 5:35pm ET $0.00001466 4,303,882,202 $63,094.91 $62,777.61 $-1,048.96
(-1.1%)
RESISTANCE
1.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 7:40pm ET $0.00000987 6,360,446,744 $62,777.61
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET $0.00000898 6,360,446,744 $57,116.81 $56,817.08 $-5,960.53
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 11:25pm ET $0.00000880 6,456,485,876 $56,817.08
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 12:40am ET $0.00000906 6,456,485,876 $58,495.76 $58,207.48 +$1,390.40
(+3.0%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2025 12:20am ET $0.00001003 5,803,337,980 $58,207.48
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 1:50am ET $0.00001003 5,803,337,980 $58,207.48 $57,916.44 $-291.04
(+0.0%)
RESISTANCE
1.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 6:15am ET $0.00000754 7,681,225,801 $57,916.44
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 7:15am ET $0.00000788 7,681,225,801 $60,528.06 $60,231.95 +$2,315.51
(+4.5%)
RESISTANCE
1h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:00pm ET $0.00000533 11,300,553,106 $60,231.95
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:55pm ET $0.00000561 11,300,553,106 $63,396.10 $63,087.03 +$2,855.08
(+5.2%)
RESISTANCE
54m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 5:10pm ET $0.00000737 8,559,977,313 $63,087.03
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 6:40pm ET $0.00000696 8,559,977,313 $59,577.44 $59,270.78 $-3,816.25
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
46 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 8:50am ET $0.00001369 4,329,494,588 $59,270.78
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 9:05am ET $0.00001380 4,329,494,588 $59,747.03 $59,449.48 +$178.70
(+0.8%)
RESISTANCE
18m held
47 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $0.00001303 4,562,508,120 $59,449.48
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $0.00001317 4,562,508,120 $60,088.23 $59,789.39 +$339.91
(+1.1%)
RESISTANCE
36m held
48 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:50pm ET $0.00001298 4,606,270,236 $59,789.39
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:30pm ET $0.00001320 4,606,270,236 $60,802.77 $60,501.29 +$711.90
(+1.7%)
RESISTANCE
1.7h held
49 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 4:40pm ET $0.00001325 4,566,134,847 $60,501.29
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 5:35pm ET $0.00001337 4,566,134,847 $61,049.22 $60,745.35 +$244.06
(+0.9%)
RESISTANCE
54m held
50 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 8:10am ET $0.00001454 4,177,809,259 $60,745.35
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $0.00001502 4,177,809,259 $62,750.70 $62,441.95 +$1,696.61
(+3.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
51 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 7:10pm ET $0.00001171 5,332,361,654 $62,441.95
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 9:30pm ET $0.00001107 5,332,361,654 $59,029.24 $58,725.57 $-3,716.39
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 4:30pm ET $0.00001053 5,576,976,782 $58,725.57
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 5:35pm ET $0.00001066 5,576,976,782 $59,450.57 $59,155.13 +$429.57
(+1.2%)
RESISTANCE
1.1h held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:10pm ET $0.00001053 5,617,771,334 $59,155.13
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 10:30pm ET $0.00001067 5,617,771,334 $59,941.62 $59,643.88 +$488.75
(+1.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
54 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $0.00000726 8,215,410,228 $59,643.88
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $0.00000516 8,215,410,228 $42,391.52 $42,136.43 $-17,507.45
(-28.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
55 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000320 13,167,633,841 $42,136.43
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 8:00pm ET $0.00000344 13,167,633,841 $45,296.66 $45,078.08 +$2,941.65
(+7.5%)
RESISTANCE
48m held
56 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $0.00000381 11,831,516,454 $45,078.08
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $0.00000380 11,831,516,454 $44,959.76 $44,734.67 $-343.41
(-0.3%)
RESISTANCE
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $44,734.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$34,734.67
Total Return: +347.35%
Back to Penelope Swing