Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:24

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 7.7/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,998
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,245.77
Current Value
$9,373.80
Period P&L
$-871.98
Max Drawdown
-2.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+3.73%
Worst Trade
-5.88%
Avg Trade Return
-1.22%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$134,368.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-871.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-871.98
Gross Return
-8.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,245.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $46.50 220 $10,228.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:25am ET $45.86 220 $10,089.22 $10,106.10 $-139.68
(-1.4%)
RESISTANCE
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $108.41 93 $10,082.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $107.42 93 $9,990.01 $10,013.98 $-92.12
(-0.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $100.42 99 $9,941.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $100.49 99 $9,948.51 $10,020.91 +$6.93
(+0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $125.64 79 $9,925.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $119.20 79 $9,416.81 $9,512.16 $-508.75
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:55am ET $128.53 74 $9,511.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $120.97 74 $8,951.78 $8,952.72 $-559.44
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $111.86 80 $8,948.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET $112.93 80 $9,034.40 $9,038.72 +$86.00
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:10am ET $83.95 107 $8,982.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $87.08 107 $9,317.73 $9,373.80 +$335.08
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,373.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-626.20
Total Return: -6.26%
Back to Penelope Swing