Compendium › Penelope Swing › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

-1.01%
Year to Date Return
$9,943.78
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,045.26
Period Start
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Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 8%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
86.3/35
Total Return
64.3/25
Win Rate
36.8/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
22.6/10
Raw Quality 445.1/100
× Confidence 0.08 = 37.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (8%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,568
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,045.26
Current Value
$9,943.78
Period P&L
$-101.48
Max Drawdown
-1.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.53

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+0.55%
Worst Trade
-0.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
47m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$59,586.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-101.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-101.48
Gross Return
-1.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,045.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $42.75 234 $10,003.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:50am ET $42.42 234 $9,927.45 $9,969.21 $-76.05
(-0.8%) 		RESISTANCE
2.2h held
2 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.24 220 $9,952.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $44.88 220 $9,872.50 $9,888.91 $-80.30
(-0.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $53.16 186 $9,887.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $53.46 186 $9,942.63 $9,943.78 +$54.87
(+0.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,943.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-56.22
Total Return: -0.56%
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