Compendium › Penelope Swing › SQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

+1.58%
Year to Date Return
$10,926.85
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,756.90
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:25:29

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

77
Lifetime
Confidence: 16%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
86.6/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
99.0/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
99.4/10
Raw Quality 467.5/100
× Confidence 0.16 = 76.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (16%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,111
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,756.90
Current Value
$10,926.85
Period P&L
$169.95
Max Drawdown
-0.6%
Sharpe Ratio
1.24

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+0.91%
Worst Trade
-0.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
5m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$65,111.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$169.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$169.95
Gross Return
+1.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,756.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $67.99 158 $10,742.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $68.61 158 $10,840.36 $10,854.84 +$97.94
(+0.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:55am ET $36.69 295 $10,824.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET $36.96 295 $10,903.20 $10,933.63 +$78.79
(+0.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:00am ET $45.06 242 $10,904.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:05am ET $45.03 242 $10,897.26 $10,926.85 $-6.78
(-0.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,926.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$926.85
Total Return: +9.27%
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