Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:37:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,494
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,543.82
Current Value
$6,712.68
Period P&L
$-831.16
Max Drawdown
-29.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+2.14%
Worst Trade
-6.36%
Avg Trade Return
-1.02%
Avg Hold Time
2.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$151,560.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-831.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-831.16
Gross Return
-11.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $7,543.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET $38.13 197 $7,511.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET $37.82 197 $7,450.40 $7,482.60 $-61.23
(-0.8%)
RESISTANCE
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET $37.88 197 $7,462.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:15am ET $37.69 197 $7,425.91 $7,446.16 $-36.45
(-0.5%)
RESISTANCE
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:45am ET $45.17 164 $7,407.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $44.51 164 $7,299.64 $7,337.92 $-108.24
(-1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:20am ET $52.23 140 $7,312.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $49.20 140 $6,888.00 $6,913.72 $-424.20
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:55am ET $47.58 145 $6,898.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $44.55 145 $6,459.74 $6,475.08 $-438.64
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.58 133 $6,461.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET $49.06 133 $6,525.55 $6,539.48 +$64.40
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $56.16 116 $6,514.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $56.69 116 $6,575.46 $6,600.38 +$60.90
(+0.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $50.60 130 $6,578.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:50am ET $51.69 130 $6,719.70 $6,741.43 +$141.05
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.46 155 $6,735.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $43.05 155 $6,672.75 $6,678.65 $-62.78
(-0.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $26.56 251 $6,666.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $26.50 251 $6,651.50 $6,663.59 $-15.06
(-0.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 382 $6,646.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $17.53 382 $6,695.89 $6,712.68 +$49.09
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,712.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,287.32
Total Return: -32.87%
Back to Penelope Swing