AVAXUSD Penelope Swing's Analysis
2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 23:25:00+00 • 40 trades executed
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Trade Statistics
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $12,637.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2024 5:40am ET | $34.40 | 367 | $12,637.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2024 7:00am ET | $34.95 | 367 | $12,839.52 | $12,775.83 |
+$138.36 (+1.6%) |
RESISTANCE
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2024 9:20am ET | $49.47 | 258 | $12,775.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2024 10:30am ET | $49.80 | 258 | $12,861.06 | $12,796.96 |
+$21.13 (+0.7%) |
RESISTANCE
1.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET | $41.10 | 311 | $12,796.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 6:25pm ET | $45.41 | 311 | $14,139.87 | $14,072.52 |
+$1,275.56 (+10.5%) |
RESISTANCE
2.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 1:20pm ET | $38.79 | 363 | $14,072.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET | $38.75 | 363 | $14,058.01 | $13,987.69 |
$-84.84 (-0.1%) |
RESISTANCE
2.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 4:05am ET | $36.15 | 387 | $13,987.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 6:35am ET | $34.15 | 387 | $13,213.82 | $13,145.81 |
$-841.87 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET | $25.17 | 522 | $13,145.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 8:55pm ET | $23.81 | 522 | $12,432.90 | $12,368.95 |
$-776.86 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 1:40pm ET | $28.57 | 433 | $12,368.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $28.64 | 433 | $12,399.26 | $12,337.34 |
$-31.62 (+0.2%) |
RESISTANCE
24m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $7.79 | 1,584 | $12,337.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 8:05pm ET | $8.34 | 1,584 | $13,211.73 | $13,147.85 |
+$810.52 (+7.1%) |
RESISTANCE
54m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $9.07 | 1,449 | $13,147.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $9.09 | 1,449 | $13,170.78 | $13,170.78 |
$-42.87 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $9.08 | 1,451 | $13,170.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $9.08 | 1,451 | $13,182.03 | $13,182.03 |
$-54.64 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $9.10 | 1,449 | $13,182.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $9.07 | 1,449 | $13,138.04 | $13,138.04 |
$-109.79 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $9.13 | 1,439 | $13,138.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $9.11 | 1,439 | $13,109.83 | $13,109.83 |
$-93.82 (-0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $9.11 | 1,440 | $13,109.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $9.10 | 1,440 | $13,100.59 | $13,100.59 |
$-74.76 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $9.12 | 1,436 | $13,100.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:30am ET | $9.11 | 1,436 | $13,088.35 | $13,088.35 |
$-77.72 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $9.08 | 1,441 | $13,088.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $9.09 | 1,441 | $13,097.31 | $13,097.31 |
$-56.50 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $9.12 | 1,436 | $13,097.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $9.12 | 1,436 | $13,099.21 | $13,099.21 |
$-63.59 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $9.13 | 1,434 | $13,099.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.16 | 1,434 | $13,139.56 | $13,139.56 |
$-25.25 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 3:35am ET | $6.26 | 2,099 | $13,139.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 3:40am ET | $6.28 | 2,099 | $13,181.55 | $13,181.55 |
$-23.82 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 3:45am ET | $6.31 | 2,088 | $13,181.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 3:50am ET | $6.30 | 2,088 | $13,162.76 | $13,162.76 |
$-84.66 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 3:55am ET | $6.27 | 2,099 | $13,162.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 4:00am ET | $6.29 | 2,099 | $13,190.04 | $13,190.04 |
$-38.60 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 4:05am ET | $6.29 | 2,097 | $13,190.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 4:10am ET | $6.30 | 2,097 | $13,208.91 | $13,208.91 |
$-47.12 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 4:15am ET | $6.30 | 2,098 | $13,208.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 4:20am ET | $6.28 | 2,098 | $13,171.15 | $13,171.15 |
$-103.71 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 4:25am ET | $6.27 | 2,100 | $13,171.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 4:30am ET | $6.26 | 2,100 | $13,148.05 | $13,148.05 |
$-88.89 (-0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 4:35am ET | $6.23 | 2,110 | $13,148.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 4:40am ET | $6.26 | 2,110 | $13,207.14 | $13,207.14 |
$-6.80 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 4:45am ET | $6.28 | 2,105 | $13,207.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 4:50am ET | $6.25 | 2,105 | $13,154.52 | $13,154.52 |
$-118.52 (-0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 4:55am ET | $6.26 | 2,101 | $13,154.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 5:00am ET | $6.28 | 2,101 | $13,190.24 | $13,190.24 |
$-30.14 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 5:05am ET | $6.28 | 2,102 | $13,190.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2026 5:10am ET | $6.27 | 2,102 | $13,175.53 | $13,175.53 |
$-80.63 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2026 9:35pm ET | $9.85 | 1,338 | $13,175.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2026 9:40pm ET | $9.87 | 1,338 | $13,200.94 | $13,200.94 |
$-40.53 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2026 9:45pm ET | $9.79 | 1,349 | $13,200.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2026 9:50pm ET | $9.79 | 1,349 | $13,204.99 | $13,204.99 |
$-61.97 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2026 9:55pm ET | $9.77 | 1,351 | $13,204.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2026 10:00pm ET | $9.72 | 1,351 | $13,130.67 | $13,130.67 |
$-140.16 (-0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2026 10:05pm ET | $9.76 | 1,345 | $13,130.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2026 10:10pm ET | $9.73 | 1,345 | $13,082.25 | $13,082.25 |
$-113.96 (-0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2026 10:15pm ET | $9.71 | 1,347 | $13,082.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2026 10:20pm ET | $9.68 | 1,347 | $13,037.78 | $13,037.78 |
$-109.77 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |