Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:55:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score

Score Not Yet Available
This strategy+symbol combination hasn't been scored yet. Scoring requires at least 10 trades and runs daily. Check back soon.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,408
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,381.67
Current Value
$11,820.74
Total P&L
$1,439.07
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
7.34

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+8.21%
Worst Trade
+6.24%
Avg Trade Return
+7.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$44,265.81
Estimated Fees
$110.66
Gross P&L
$1,439.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,328.41
Gross Return
+13.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.80%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,381.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET $49,364.82 0 $10,381.67
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 3:20am ET $52,447.13 0 $11,029.90 $10,976.37 +$594.70
(+6.2%)
RESISTANCE
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $104,710.00 0 $10,976.37
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 6:35pm ET $113,310.00 0 $11,877.87 $11,820.74 +$844.37
(+8.2%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,820.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,820.74
Total Return: +18.21%
Back to Penelope Swing