Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-18 11:49:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.43%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.29%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
53.7 neutral
20d Trend
+13.0%
5d Trend
-4.5%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
5.5%
Range Pos
67%
Bounce Ratio
1.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 44%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.2/35
Total Return
50.2/25
Win Rate
38.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
10.4/10
Raw Quality 76.6/100
× Confidence 0.44 = 34.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (44%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,200
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-18 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$7,786.97
Current Value
$7,135.15
Total P&L
$-651.82
Max Drawdown
-34.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+4.26%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
-1.39%
Avg Hold Time
4.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$91,710.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-651.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-651.82
Gross Return
-8.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GME Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $7,786.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET $22.96 339 $7,783.44
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2024 11:35am ET $23.03 339 $7,807.20 $7,810.73 +$23.76
(+0.3%)
RESISTANCE
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2024 9:35am ET $20.10 388 $7,798.80
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 11:25am ET $19.94 388 $7,736.68 $7,748.61 $-62.12
(-0.8%)
RESISTANCE
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET $28.44 272 $7,735.65
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 10:10am ET $29.65 272 $8,064.99 $8,077.95 +$329.34
(+4.3%)
RESISTANCE
18.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 9:30am ET $25.72 314 $8,076.08
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2025 11:25am ET $24.22 314 $7,603.51 $7,605.38 $-472.57
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 10:15am ET $32.97 230 $7,583.10
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 10:50am ET $31.24 230 $7,184.05 $7,206.33 $-399.05
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET $23.02 313 $7,203.88
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 11:55am ET $22.79 313 $7,132.71 $7,135.15 $-71.18
(-1.0%)
RESISTANCE
2.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,135.15
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,864.85
Total Return: -28.65%
Back to Penelope Swing