Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 7.7/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,462
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,147.14
Current Value
$9,373.80
Total P&L
$-773.35
Max Drawdown
-2.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+3.73%
Worst Trade
-5.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.58%
Avg Hold Time
13.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,666.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-773.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-773.35
Gross Return
-7.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,147.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 10:35am ET $22.92 442 $10,128.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 14, 2025 11:40am ET $23.34 442 $10,314.11 $10,332.83 +$185.68
(+1.8%)
RESISTANCE
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 10:00am ET $21.36 483 $10,314.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 11:40am ET $21.09 483 $10,184.06 $10,202.42 $-130.41
(-1.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $21.13 482 $10,184.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 11:15am ET $20.78 482 $10,013.55 $10,031.35 $-171.06
(-1.7%)
RESISTANCE
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 9:35am ET $18.46 543 $10,023.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 11:10am ET $18.65 543 $10,124.24 $10,132.30 +$100.94
(+1.0%)
RESISTANCE
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 9:40am ET $19.67 515 $10,127.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 11:05am ET $20.05 515 $10,323.18 $10,328.00 +$195.70
(+1.9%)
RESISTANCE
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 9:30am ET $20.73 498 $10,321.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 11:10am ET $20.56 498 $10,238.83 $10,245.78 $-82.22
(-0.8%)
RESISTANCE
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $46.50 220 $10,228.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:25am ET $45.86 220 $10,089.22 $10,106.10 $-139.68
(-1.4%)
RESISTANCE
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $108.41 93 $10,082.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $107.42 93 $9,990.01 $10,013.98 $-92.12
(-0.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $100.42 99 $9,941.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $100.49 99 $9,948.51 $10,020.91 +$6.93
(+0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $125.64 79 $9,925.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $119.20 79 $9,416.81 $9,512.16 $-508.75
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:55am ET $128.53 74 $9,511.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $120.97 74 $8,951.78 $8,952.72 $-559.44
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $111.86 80 $8,948.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET $112.93 80 $9,034.40 $9,038.72 +$86.00
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:10am ET $83.95 107 $8,982.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $87.08 107 $9,317.73 $9,373.80 +$335.08
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,373.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-626.20
Total Return: -6.26%
Back to Penelope Swing