Compendium › Penelope Swing › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

2024-01-11 15:30:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 39 trades executed

+19.85%
2 Years Return
$10,462.71
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$8,729.78
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:34:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
6.2/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 18.3/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 13.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
73,168
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,729.78
Current Value
$10,462.71
Total P&L
$1,732.93
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
19 / 8
Best Trade
+11.69%
Worst Trade
-6.43%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$532,190.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,732.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,732.93
Gross Return
+19.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $8,729.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2024 9:30am ET $27.55 316 $8,705.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2024 11:45am ET $27.75 316 $8,769.00 $8,792.98 +$63.20
(+0.7%) 		RESISTANCE
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 11:30am ET $20.45 429 $8,773.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 12:55pm ET $20.75 429 $8,901.75 $8,921.68 +$128.70
(+1.5%) 		RESISTANCE
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 10:25am ET $23.50 379 $8,906.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 11:50am ET $23.55 379 $8,925.45 $8,940.25 +$18.57
(+0.2%) 		RESISTANCE
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET $25.35 352 $8,923.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 10:10am ET $26.35 352 $9,275.20 $9,292.25 +$352.00
(+3.9%) 		RESISTANCE
18.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2024 11:30am ET $32.10 289 $9,276.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2024 1:40pm ET $30.45 289 $8,799.47 $8,815.40 $-476.85
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 10:35am ET $33.20 265 $8,798.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 11:30am ET $34.27 265 $9,081.82 $9,098.95 +$283.55
(+3.2%) 		RESISTANCE
54m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 11:45am ET $31.80 286 $9,094.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2025 1:20pm ET $32.20 286 $9,209.20 $9,213.35 +$114.40
(+1.3%) 		RESISTANCE
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 10:00am ET $28.15 327 $9,205.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 11:10am ET $29.55 327 $9,662.85 $9,671.15 +$457.80
(+5.0%) 		RESISTANCE
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:45am ET $28.12 343 $9,644.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 11:25am ET $28.15 343 $9,655.45 $9,681.78 +$10.63
(+0.1%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 10:20am ET $23.85 405 $9,660.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 12:20pm ET $23.30 405 $9,436.50 $9,457.82 $-223.97
(-2.3%) 		RESISTANCE
2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 10:10am ET $21.30 444 $9,457.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 11:40am ET $21.91 444 $9,729.82 $9,730.43 +$272.62
(+2.9%) 		RESISTANCE
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 9:40am ET $28.75 338 $9,717.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 11:05am ET $30.40 338 $10,275.20 $10,288.13 +$557.70
(+5.7%) 		RESISTANCE
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 11:05am ET $28.21 364 $10,268.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 1:05pm ET $28.20 364 $10,264.80 $10,284.13 $-4.00
(-0.0%) 		RESISTANCE
2h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $21.90 469 $10,271.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 11:05am ET $22.15 469 $10,388.35 $10,401.38 +$117.25
(+1.1%) 		RESISTANCE
1.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET $15.28 680 $10,391.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 12:05pm ET $15.55 680 $10,571.28 $10,581.17 +$179.79
(+1.7%) 		RESISTANCE
2.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET $15.52 681 $10,569.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:20pm ET $15.68 681 $10,678.08 $10,690.13 +$108.96
(+1.0%) 		RESISTANCE
1.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:45am ET $9.74 1,096 $10,680.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:50am ET $9.76 1,096 $10,691.48 $10,701.09 +$10.96
(+0.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $9.17 1,166 $10,692.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $8.98 1,166 $10,470.68 $10,479.55 $-221.54
(-2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET $8.22 1,274 $10,472.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:55am ET $8.23 1,274 $10,491.39 $10,498.66 +$19.11
(+0.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET $7.53 1,395 $10,497.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET $7.49 1,395 $10,455.52 $10,456.81 $-41.85
(-0.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $5.15 2,030 $10,454.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $5.22 2,030 $10,596.60 $10,599.11 +$142.30
(+1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $6.39 1,660 $10,599.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $6.06 1,660 $10,051.47 $10,051.48 $-547.63
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET $6.16 1,633 $10,051.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $6.09 1,633 $9,953.13 $9,953.50 $-97.98
(-1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $5.14 1,938 $9,951.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $4.80 1,938 $9,312.09 $9,313.96 $-639.54
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $6.07 1,534 $9,311.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $6.78 1,534 $10,400.37 $10,402.79 +$1,088.83
(+11.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $6.94 1,498 $10,396.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $6.98 1,498 $10,456.04 $10,462.71 +$59.92
(+0.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $4.89 2,141 $10,458.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $4.89 2,141 $10,458.79 $10,462.71 $0.00
(+0.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,462.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$462.71
Total Return: +4.63%
Back to Penelope Swing