Compendium › Penelope Swing › NET
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NET
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-04-02 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+21.91%
2 Years Return
$12,190.74
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-04-03 22:26:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
9
Extreme Fear
VIX
24.5
ELEVATED
10Y Yield
4.31%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
3.28
NORMAL
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 4.8
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 22%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
66.4/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
39.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
54.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.22 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (22%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,240
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-04-03 → 2026-04-02
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,190.74
Total P&L
$2,190.74
Max Drawdown
-3.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+13.34%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
+3.56%
Avg Hold Time
1.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$127,107.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,190.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,190.74
Gross Return
+21.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 9:30am ET $76.31 131 $9,995.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 3, 2024 11:25am ET $73.99 131 $9,692.69 $9,696.74 $-303.27
(-3.0%) 		RESISTANCE
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $70.55 137 $9,665.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 10:35am ET $78.11 137 $10,701.07 $10,732.46 +$1,035.72
(+10.7%) 		RESISTANCE
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 8, 2024 9:30am ET $88.90 120 $10,668.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 8, 2024 11:10am ET $88.44 120 $10,612.80 $10,677.26 $-55.20
(-0.5%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $113.01 94 $10,622.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 11:05am ET $115.46 94 $10,852.77 $10,907.09 +$229.83
(+2.2%) 		RESISTANCE
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 10:05am ET $109.28 99 $10,818.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 11:40am ET $107.84 99 $10,676.16 $10,764.53 $-142.56
(-1.3%) 		RESISTANCE
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET $89.81 119 $10,687.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $101.80 119 $12,113.61 $12,190.74 +$1,426.22
(+13.3%) 		RESISTANCE
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,190.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,190.74
Total Return: +21.91%
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