Compendium › Penelope Swing › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

-1.42%
2 Years Return
$9,943.78
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,087.12
Period Start
Login to Apply

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 8%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
86.3/35
Total Return
64.3/25
Win Rate
36.8/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
22.6/10
Raw Quality 445.1/100
× Confidence 0.08 = 37.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (8%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,359
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,087.12
Current Value
$9,943.78
Total P&L
$-143.34
Max Drawdown
-1.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+0.93%
Worst Trade
-0.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
59m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$119,720.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-143.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-143.34
Gross Return
-1.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,087.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2025 9:30am ET $81.94 123 $10,078.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 11:05am ET $81.35 123 $10,005.44 $10,013.94 $-73.18
(-0.7%) 		RESISTANCE
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 10:45am ET $61.19 163 $9,973.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 11:25am ET $61.76 163 $10,066.88 $10,106.85 +$92.91
(+0.9%) 		RESISTANCE
42m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:20am ET $71.68 140 $10,035.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 11:40am ET $71.24 140 $9,973.61 $10,045.26 $-61.59
(-0.6%) 		RESISTANCE
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $42.75 234 $10,003.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:50am ET $42.42 234 $9,927.45 $9,969.21 $-76.05
(-0.8%) 		RESISTANCE
2.2h held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.24 220 $9,952.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $44.88 220 $9,872.50 $9,888.91 $-80.30
(-0.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $53.16 186 $9,887.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $53.46 186 $9,942.63 $9,943.78 +$54.87
(+0.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,943.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-56.22
Total Return: -0.56%
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