Compendium › Carl Crunch › RBLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RBLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Carl Crunch's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 5 trades in period

-9.77%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,521.83
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$11,661.68
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
6.6/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 25.6/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 17.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,574
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,661.68
Current Value
$10,521.83
Period P&L
$-1,139.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.92

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+2.34%
Worst Trade
-3.37%
Avg Trade Return
-2.02%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$110,641.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,139.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,139.85
Gross Return
-9.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Carl Crunch had $11,661.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET $59.67 195 $11,634.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $57.87 195 $11,284.65 $11,311.65 $-350.03
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:35am ET $57.15 197 $11,259.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $55.42 197 $10,918.72 $10,970.84 $-340.81
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $55.08 199 $10,960.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $56.37 199 $11,217.63 $11,227.55 +$256.71
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $57.99 193 $11,193.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $56.23 193 $10,852.39 $10,886.91 $-340.64
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET $59.25 183 $10,842.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:35am ET $57.26 183 $10,477.67 $10,521.83 $-365.08
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,521.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$521.83
Total Return: +5.22%
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