Compendium › Max Marathon › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Max Marathon's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 5 trades in period

-0.30%
Last Month Return
$12,202.12
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$12,239.43
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.4/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 47.5/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 40.2

30-Day Momentum

18
+2.3%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.2 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,239.43
Current Value
$12,202.12
Period P&L
$-37.31
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+2.30%
Worst Trade
-3.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$117,438.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-37.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-37.31
Gross Return
-0.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $12,239.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:40am ET $433.26 26 $11,264.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $441.50 26 $11,478.93 $12,144.72 +$214.17
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $439.02 27 $11,853.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $436.67 27 $11,789.96 $12,081.14 $-63.58
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET $401.65 30 $12,049.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $388.64 30 $11,659.35 $11,690.99 $-390.15
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $375.92 31 $11,653.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $384.55 31 $11,921.05 $11,958.52 +$267.53
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:50am ET $405.59 29 $11,762.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $413.99 29 $12,005.71 $12,202.12 +$243.60
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,202.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,202.12
Total Return: +22.02%
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