Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 23.9/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 20.6

30-Day Momentum

2
-2.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,726.40
Current Value
$10,537.93
Period P&L
$-188.47
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+2.70%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.45%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$104,435.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-188.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-188.47
Gross Return
-1.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $10,726.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $425.97 25 $10,649.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $413.13 25 $10,328.30 $10,457.20 $-320.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $399.76 26 $10,393.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $410.56 26 $10,674.56 $10,738.00 +$280.80
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $405.52 26 $10,543.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $404.81 26 $10,525.06 $10,719.54 $-18.46
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $397.85 26 $10,344.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $394.57 26 $10,258.82 $10,634.26 $-85.28
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $400.28 26 $10,407.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $396.58 26 $10,310.95 $10,537.93 $-96.33
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,537.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$537.93
Total Return: +5.38%
Back to Max Marathon