Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 8.7

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,492.04
Current Value
$9,336.18
Period P&L
$-155.87
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.58%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,163.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-155.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-155.87
Gross Return
-1.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $9,492.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,052.08 9 $9,468.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $1,028.36 9 $9,255.24 $9,278.57 $-213.48
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,004.27 9 $9,038.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $1,030.22 9 $9,271.98 $9,512.12 +$233.55
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $1,029.48 9 $9,265.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $1,019.71 9 $9,177.39 $9,424.15 $-87.97
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,019.36 9 $9,174.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $988.56 9 $8,897.04 $9,146.91 $-277.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $959.56 9 $8,636.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $981.06 9 $8,829.54 $9,340.41 +$193.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $952.99 9 $8,576.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $952.52 9 $8,572.68 $9,336.18 $-4.23
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,336.18
Net Profit/Loss: $-663.82
Total Return: -6.64%
Back to Max Marathon