Compendium › Max Marathon › GLD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GLD
Alpaca Tradeable

Max Marathon's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-09 to present • 18 trades in period

-0.16%
Last Year Return
$10,701.74
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$10,719.25
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:52:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 29.9/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 23.1

30-Day Momentum

28
+4.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.7 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,123
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,719.25
Current Value
$10,701.74
Period P&L
$-17.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
10 / 8
Best Trade
+5.05%
Worst Trade
-6.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$380,758.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-17.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-17.51
Gross Return
-0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $10,719.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $449.34 23 $10,334.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET $458.86 23 $10,553.83 $10,938.26 +$219.01
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:55am ET $460.30 23 $10,586.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $475.33 23 $10,932.59 $11,283.95 +$345.69
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:55am ET $460.30 23 $10,586.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $475.66 23 $10,940.22 $11,637.27 +$353.32
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:30am ET $472.31 24 $11,335.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET $481.90 24 $11,565.72 $11,867.55 +$230.28
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $485.99 24 $11,663.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $470.14 24 $11,283.24 $11,487.03 $-380.52
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:55am ET $473.08 24 $11,353.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET $467.66 24 $11,223.84 $11,356.95 $-130.08
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $473.14 24 $11,355.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET $458.84 24 $11,012.18 $11,013.65 $-343.30
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $449.00 24 $10,776.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $420.00 24 $10,080.00 $10,317.65 $-696.00
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET $419.53 24 $10,068.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $404.32 24 $9,703.68 $9,952.61 $-365.04
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $400.00 24 $9,600.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $420.21 24 $10,085.04 $10,437.65 +$485.04
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET $408.34 25 $10,208.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET $417.70 25 $10,442.56 $10,671.71 +$234.06
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $438.45 24 $10,522.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $422.53 24 $10,140.72 $10,289.63 $-382.08
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET $428.26 24 $10,278.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $440.24 24 $10,565.76 $10,577.27 +$287.64
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:00pm ET $434.39 24 $10,425.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $443.89 24 $10,653.29 $10,805.20 +$227.93
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $442.41 24 $10,617.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $429.11 24 $10,298.64 $10,486.00 $-319.20
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $435.13 24 $10,443.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $429.77 24 $10,314.48 $10,357.36 $-128.64
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $416.68 24 $10,000.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $425.16 24 $10,203.84 $10,560.86 +$203.50
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $426.25 24 $10,230.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $432.12 24 $10,370.88 $10,701.74 +$140.88
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,701.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$701.74
Total Return: +7.02%
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