Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:24:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.5/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 49.4/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 42.5

30-Day Momentum

2
-2.7%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-41 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,657.67
Current Value
$12,640.65
Period P&L
$-1,017.02
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+2.49%
Worst Trade
-4.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.49%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$386,200.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,017.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,017.02
Gross Return
-7.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $13,657.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:15am ET $120.75 113 $13,644.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $115.16 113 $13,013.08 $13,026.00 $-631.67
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $117.71 110 $12,948.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $114.07 110 $12,547.70 $12,625.60 $-400.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $113.53 111 $12,601.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $116.35 111 $12,914.85 $12,939.17 +$313.57
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $119.33 108 $12,887.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $115.63 108 $12,488.04 $12,539.57 $-399.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:00am ET $111.80 112 $12,521.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $114.15 112 $12,785.36 $12,803.33 +$263.76
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $113.41 112 $12,701.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:15am ET $115.83 112 $12,972.96 $13,074.37 +$271.04
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET $115.18 113 $13,015.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:55am ET $115.07 113 $13,002.91 $13,061.38 $-12.99
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $121.86 107 $13,039.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:05am ET $124.46 107 $13,317.22 $13,339.58 +$278.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $113.11 117 $13,234.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:30am ET $110.86 117 $12,970.04 $13,075.16 $-264.42
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET $111.63 117 $13,060.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:35am ET $110.90 117 $12,975.30 $12,990.34 $-84.82
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET $111.63 117 $13,060.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $111.58 117 $13,054.86 $12,985.08 $-5.26
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET $111.64 116 $12,949.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:50am ET $109.18 116 $12,664.30 $12,699.72 $-285.36
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET $111.64 116 $12,949.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $109.46 116 $12,697.36 $12,447.42 $-252.30
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $108.82 114 $12,405.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:40am ET $111.01 114 $12,655.14 $12,697.08 +$249.66
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:55am ET $110.43 114 $12,589.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $109.93 114 $12,532.59 $12,640.65 $-56.43
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,640.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,640.65
Total Return: +26.41%
Back to Max Marathon