Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 23.9/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 20.6

30-Day Momentum

2
-2.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,537.69
Current Value
$10,537.93
Period P&L
$1,000.24
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+4.32%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$282,757.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,000.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,000.24
Gross Return
+10.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $9,537.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $369.80 25 $9,245.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:30am ET $377.32 25 $9,432.99 $9,725.56 +$187.87
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:20am ET $371.94 26 $9,670.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $379.38 26 $9,863.88 $9,919.00 +$193.44
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $376.70 26 $9,794.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $370.15 26 $9,623.90 $9,748.70 $-170.30
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:00am ET $367.34 26 $9,550.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $374.70 26 $9,742.20 $9,940.06 +$191.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $372.92 26 $9,695.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $368.61 26 $9,583.86 $9,828.00 $-112.06
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $369.01 26 $9,594.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $384.96 26 $10,008.96 $10,242.70 +$414.70
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET $390.28 26 $10,147.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $399.85 26 $10,396.10 $10,491.52 +$248.82
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $399.98 26 $10,399.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $402.39 26 $10,462.14 $10,554.18 +$62.66
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:45am ET $401.66 26 $10,443.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $410.27 26 $10,667.13 $10,778.15 +$223.97
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $425.97 25 $10,649.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $413.13 25 $10,328.30 $10,457.20 $-320.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $399.76 26 $10,393.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $410.56 26 $10,674.56 $10,738.00 +$280.80
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $405.52 26 $10,543.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $404.81 26 $10,525.06 $10,719.54 $-18.46
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $397.85 26 $10,344.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $394.57 26 $10,258.82 $10,634.26 $-85.28
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $400.28 26 $10,407.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $396.58 26 $10,310.95 $10,537.93 $-96.33
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,537.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$537.93
Total Return: +5.38%
Back to Max Marathon