Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 8.7

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,731.42
Current Value
$9,336.18
Period P&L
$-395.25
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+4.66%
Worst Trade
-3.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$330,954.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-395.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-395.25
Gross Return
-4.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $9,731.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,076.82 9 $9,691.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:30am ET $1,101.17 9 $9,910.53 $9,950.57 +$219.15
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,021.94 9 $9,197.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,020.47 9 $9,184.23 $9,937.34 $-13.23
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:55am ET $1,052.05 9 $9,468.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:40am ET $1,018.01 9 $9,162.09 $9,630.98 $-306.36
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:50am ET $1,045.53 9 $9,409.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,094.27 9 $9,848.39 $10,069.59 +$438.61
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET $1,101.02 9 $9,909.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,062.02 9 $9,558.16 $9,718.57 $-351.02
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET $1,068.53 9 $9,616.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,092.48 9 $9,832.32 $9,934.17 +$215.59
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,074.25 9 $9,668.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,040.10 9 $9,360.90 $9,626.82 $-307.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,034.24 9 $9,308.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET $998.52 9 $8,986.68 $9,305.34 $-321.48
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET $1,023.38 9 $9,210.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,049.94 9 $9,449.50 $9,544.42 +$239.08
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $1,068.11 8 $8,544.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,033.16 8 $8,265.28 $9,264.82 $-279.60
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:40am ET $1,036.64 8 $8,293.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,041.88 8 $8,335.04 $9,306.74 +$41.92
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,021.92 9 $9,197.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,042.51 9 $9,382.59 $9,492.05 +$185.31
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,052.08 9 $9,468.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $1,028.36 9 $9,255.24 $9,278.57 $-213.48
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,004.27 9 $9,038.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $1,030.22 9 $9,271.98 $9,512.12 +$233.55
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $1,029.48 9 $9,265.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $1,019.71 9 $9,177.39 $9,424.15 $-87.97
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,019.36 9 $9,174.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $988.56 9 $8,897.04 $9,146.91 $-277.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $959.56 9 $8,636.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $981.06 9 $8,829.54 $9,340.41 +$193.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $952.99 9 $8,576.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $952.52 9 $8,572.68 $9,336.18 $-4.23
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,336.18
Net Profit/Loss: $-663.82
Total Return: -6.64%
Back to Max Marathon