Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 37.2/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 31.4

30-Day Momentum

2
-4.7%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$62.16
Current Value
$11,388.21
Period P&L
$49.93
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+2.06%
Worst Trade
-2.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$345,839.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$49.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$49.93
Gross Return
+80.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+80.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $62.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET $295.44 38 $11,226.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:50am ET $301.39 38 $11,452.82 $11,465.58 +$226.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $298.10 38 $11,327.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $302.15 38 $11,481.70 $11,619.48 +$153.90
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET $295.44 38 $11,226.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.93 38 $11,321.34 $11,714.10 +$94.62
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $296.66 39 $11,569.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $295.64 39 $11,529.77 $11,674.13 $-39.97
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET $294.27 39 $11,476.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $295.07 39 $11,507.73 $11,705.33 +$31.20
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:45am ET $295.30 39 $11,516.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:45am ET $295.10 39 $11,508.90 $11,697.53 $-7.80
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:20am ET $289.60 40 $11,584.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $295.45 40 $11,818.00 $11,931.53 +$234.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET $301.25 39 $11,748.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:45am ET $300.44 39 $11,717.16 $11,899.94 $-31.59
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET $301.00 39 $11,739.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $303.99 39 $11,855.80 $12,016.74 +$116.80
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $300.69 39 $11,726.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $299.04 39 $11,662.56 $11,952.39 $-64.35
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $298.41 40 $11,936.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $293.00 40 $11,720.00 $11,735.99 $-216.40
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $298.41 40 $11,936.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $295.01 40 $11,800.20 $11,599.79 $-136.20
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $295.42 39 $11,521.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $290.73 39 $11,338.47 $11,416.88 $-182.91
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $289.13 39 $11,275.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $282.56 39 $11,019.84 $11,160.84 $-256.04
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET $282.88 39 $11,032.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $288.71 39 $11,259.69 $11,388.21 +$227.37
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,388.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,388.21
Total Return: +13.88%
Back to Max Marathon