BAC Max Marathon's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
+11.59%
Year to Date Return
$12,359.12
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$11,075.65
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
16.5/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
42.1/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 36.5
30-Day Momentum
3
-4.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,893
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,075.65
Current Value
$12,359.12
Period P&L
$1,283.46
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
21 /
17
Best Trade
+2.94%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$868,895.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,283.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,283.46
Gross Return
+11.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.59%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $11,075.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.94 | 213 | $11,063.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $52.49 | 213 | $11,179.31 | $11,191.75 |
+$116.09 (+1.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:50am ET | $53.23 | 210 | $11,178.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $51.56 | 210 | $10,827.60 | $10,841.05 |
$-350.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $51.60 | 210 | $10,834.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $49.93 | 210 | $10,485.30 | $10,491.40 |
$-349.65 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $49.57 | 211 | $10,459.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.06 | 211 | $10,140.66 | $10,172.77 |
$-318.63 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.10 | 216 | $10,172.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.30 | 216 | $10,433.34 | $10,433.59 |
+$260.82 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $48.10 | 216 | $10,390.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $47.15 | 216 | $10,183.32 | $10,226.55 |
$-207.04 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $47.38 | 215 | $10,187.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.30 | 215 | $10,384.50 | $10,423.28 |
+$196.73 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $48.11 | 216 | $10,391.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:35pm ET | $47.88 | 216 | $10,343.16 | $10,374.68 |
$-48.60 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $49.15 | 211 | $10,369.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $49.90 | 211 | $10,529.95 | $10,535.04 |
+$160.36 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 12:45pm ET | $52.56 | 200 | $10,513.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $53.36 | 200 | $10,672.00 | $10,694.04 |
+$159.00 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $54.27 | 197 | $10,691.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $53.83 | 197 | $10,605.49 | $10,608.34 |
$-85.70 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.54 | 198 | $10,601.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $52.71 | 198 | $10,436.58 | $10,443.64 |
$-164.70 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:40pm ET | $52.69 | 198 | $10,431.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $53.88 | 198 | $10,667.25 | $10,679.26 |
+$235.62 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:10am ET | $52.38 | 203 | $10,633.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.92 | 203 | $10,945.76 | $10,991.88 |
+$312.62 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $53.17 | 206 | $10,951.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $51.56 | 206 | $10,622.39 | $10,662.28 |
$-329.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $50.58 | 210 | $10,621.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.72 | 210 | $10,441.20 | $10,481.68 |
$-180.60 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $50.81 | 206 | $10,465.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.90 | 206 | $10,691.40 | $10,707.25 |
+$225.57 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.01 | 205 | $10,662.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.27 | 205 | $10,510.35 | $10,555.55 |
$-151.70 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.19 | 202 | $10,541.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.24 | 202 | $10,754.48 | $10,768.66 |
+$213.11 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $53.76 | 200 | $10,753.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.90 | 200 | $10,980.00 | $10,995.66 |
+$227.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.60 | 201 | $10,975.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $55.70 | 201 | $11,195.70 | $11,215.76 |
+$220.10 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $56.21 | 199 | $11,185.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.42 | 199 | $11,426.58 | $11,456.55 |
+$240.79 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $56.81 | 201 | $11,417.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $57.74 | 201 | $11,605.74 | $11,644.49 |
+$187.94 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:10pm ET | $57.38 | 202 | $11,591.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $58.62 | 202 | $11,841.24 | $11,893.96 |
+$249.47 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $57.63 | 206 | $11,872.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $57.88 | 206 | $11,924.31 | $11,945.46 |
+$51.50 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $58.58 | 203 | $11,890.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $59.78 | 203 | $12,135.34 | $12,190.07 |
+$244.61 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $60.26 | 202 | $12,173.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.83 | 202 | $12,489.66 | $12,506.20 |
+$316.13 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $61.58 | 203 | $12,499.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $61.47 | 203 | $12,477.40 | $12,483.87 |
$-22.33 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $61.06 | 204 | $12,457.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.54 | 204 | $12,757.76 | $12,784.37 |
+$300.50 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $61.46 | 208 | $12,783.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $62.27 | 208 | $12,951.74 | $12,952.43 |
+$168.06 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $63.27 | 204 | $12,906.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.17 | 204 | $12,886.68 | $12,932.21 |
$-20.22 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $64.28 | 201 | $12,919.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $63.99 | 201 | $12,861.99 | $12,874.93 |
$-57.28 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $62.63 | 205 | $12,838.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 11:40am ET | $62.15 | 205 | $12,739.73 | $12,776.53 |
$-98.40 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $61.44 | 207 | $12,719.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $62.69 | 207 | $12,975.80 | $13,033.21 |
+$256.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.69 | 207 | $12,977.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.94 | 207 | $12,822.61 | $12,877.96 |
$-155.25 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $62.42 | 206 | $12,858.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $63.72 | 206 | $13,125.29 | $13,144.67 |
+$266.71 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $59.26 | 221 | $13,097.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $57.44 | 221 | $12,695.34 | $12,742.45 |
$-402.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 11:50am ET | $57.85 | 220 | $12,725.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:25am ET | $56.10 | 220 | $12,342.57 | $12,359.12 |
$-383.33 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,359.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,359.12
Total Return:
+23.59%