GLD Max Marathon's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
-1.69%
Year to Date Return
$10,537.93
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$10,719.25
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
23.9/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 20.6
30-Day Momentum
2
-2.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,065
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,719.25
Current Value
$10,537.93
Period P&L
$-181.32
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
22 /
20
Best Trade
+5.05%
Worst Trade
-6.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$862,971.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-181.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-181.32
Gross Return
-1.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $10,719.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 2:20pm ET | $449.34 | 23 | $10,334.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $458.86 | 23 | $10,553.83 | $10,938.26 |
+$219.01 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $460.30 | 23 | $10,586.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $475.33 | 23 | $10,932.59 | $11,283.95 |
+$345.69 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $460.30 | 23 | $10,586.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $475.66 | 23 | $10,940.22 | $11,637.27 |
+$353.32 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $472.31 | 24 | $11,335.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $481.90 | 24 | $11,565.72 | $11,867.55 |
+$230.28 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $485.99 | 24 | $11,663.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $470.14 | 24 | $11,283.24 | $11,487.03 |
$-380.52 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $473.08 | 24 | $11,353.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $467.66 | 24 | $11,223.84 | $11,356.95 |
$-130.08 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $473.14 | 24 | $11,355.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $458.84 | 24 | $11,012.18 | $11,013.65 |
$-343.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $449.00 | 24 | $10,776.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.00 | 24 | $10,080.00 | $10,317.65 |
$-696.00 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $419.53 | 24 | $10,068.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.32 | 24 | $9,703.68 | $9,952.61 |
$-365.04 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $400.00 | 24 | $9,600.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.21 | 24 | $10,085.04 | $10,437.65 |
+$485.04 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $408.34 | 25 | $10,208.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $417.70 | 25 | $10,442.56 | $10,671.71 |
+$234.06 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $438.45 | 24 | $10,522.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.53 | 24 | $10,140.72 | $10,289.63 |
$-382.08 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $428.26 | 24 | $10,278.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $440.24 | 24 | $10,565.76 | $10,577.27 |
+$287.64 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:00pm ET | $434.39 | 24 | $10,425.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $443.89 | 24 | $10,653.29 | $10,805.20 |
+$227.93 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $442.41 | 24 | $10,617.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $429.11 | 24 | $10,298.64 | $10,486.00 |
$-319.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $435.13 | 24 | $10,443.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $429.77 | 24 | $10,314.48 | $10,357.36 |
$-128.64 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $416.68 | 24 | $10,000.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $425.16 | 24 | $10,203.84 | $10,560.86 |
+$203.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $426.25 | 24 | $10,230.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $432.12 | 24 | $10,370.88 | $10,701.74 |
+$140.88 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $434.34 | 24 | $10,424.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $428.55 | 24 | $10,285.20 | $10,562.78 |
$-138.96 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $429.49 | 24 | $10,307.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $415.78 | 24 | $9,978.72 | $10,233.74 |
$-329.04 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET | $412.57 | 24 | $9,901.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $415.36 | 24 | $9,968.64 | $10,300.70 |
+$66.96 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $407.00 | 25 | $10,175.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $415.43 | 25 | $10,385.87 | $10,511.57 |
+$210.87 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.01 | 25 | $10,250.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $397.69 | 25 | $9,942.25 | $10,203.57 |
$-308.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $397.90 | 25 | $9,947.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.65 | 25 | $9,516.30 | $9,772.37 |
$-431.20 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $373.48 | 26 | $9,710.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $382.19 | 26 | $9,936.94 | $9,998.83 |
+$226.46 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $385.85 | 25 | $9,646.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.58 | 25 | $9,989.50 | $10,342.08 |
+$343.25 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $398.27 | 25 | $9,956.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $386.26 | 25 | $9,656.50 | $10,041.83 |
$-300.25 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $384.23 | 26 | $9,989.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $364.84 | 26 | $9,485.84 | $9,537.69 |
$-504.14 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $369.80 | 25 | $9,245.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $377.32 | 25 | $9,432.99 | $9,725.56 |
+$187.87 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:20am ET | $371.94 | 26 | $9,670.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $379.38 | 26 | $9,863.88 | $9,919.00 |
+$193.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $376.70 | 26 | $9,794.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $370.15 | 26 | $9,623.90 | $9,748.70 |
$-170.30 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $367.34 | 26 | $9,550.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $374.70 | 26 | $9,742.20 | $9,940.06 |
+$191.36 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $372.92 | 26 | $9,695.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $368.61 | 26 | $9,583.86 | $9,828.00 |
$-112.06 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $369.01 | 26 | $9,594.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.96 | 26 | $10,008.96 | $10,242.70 |
+$414.70 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $390.28 | 26 | $10,147.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.85 | 26 | $10,396.10 | $10,491.52 |
+$248.82 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $399.98 | 26 | $10,399.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.39 | 26 | $10,462.14 | $10,554.18 |
+$62.66 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $401.66 | 26 | $10,443.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $410.27 | 26 | $10,667.13 | $10,778.15 |
+$223.97 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $425.97 | 25 | $10,649.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $413.13 | 25 | $10,328.30 | $10,457.20 |
$-320.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $399.76 | 26 | $10,393.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.56 | 26 | $10,674.56 | $10,738.00 |
+$280.80 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $405.52 | 26 | $10,543.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $404.81 | 26 | $10,525.06 | $10,719.54 |
$-18.46 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $397.85 | 26 | $10,344.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $394.57 | 26 | $10,258.82 | $10,634.26 |
$-85.28 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $400.28 | 26 | $10,407.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $396.58 | 26 | $10,310.95 | $10,537.93 |
$-96.33 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,537.93
Net Profit/Loss:
+$537.93
Total Return:
+5.38%