Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 05:52:37

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 11.9/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 9.0

30-Day Momentum

15
+1.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.7 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,478
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,741.68
Current Value
$9,997.03
Total P&L
$255.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+2.35%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$339,424.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$255.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$255.34
Gross Return
+2.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $9,741.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 29, 2024 9:30am ET $297.81 32 $9,529.76
🔴 SELL May 31, 2024 10:20am ET $304.32 32 $9,738.24 $9,950.17 +$208.48
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $291.51 34 $9,911.34
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 3:00pm ET $297.86 34 $10,127.07 $10,165.90 +$215.73
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $373.64 27 $10,088.15
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $378.49 27 $10,219.36 $10,297.12 +$131.22
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $373.64 27 $10,088.15
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $382.40 27 $10,324.80 $10,533.77 +$236.65
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:10am ET $378.45 27 $10,218.15
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:45am ET $386.76 27 $10,442.52 $10,758.14 +$224.37
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 11:30am ET $383.98 28 $10,751.44
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $372.42 28 $10,427.76 $10,434.46 $-323.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $364.27 28 $10,199.56
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:05am ET $372.41 28 $10,427.48 $10,662.38 +$227.92
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $376.01 28 $10,528.28
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $365.53 28 $10,234.84 $10,368.94 $-293.44
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $357.64 28 $10,013.78
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $346.85 28 $9,711.80 $10,066.96 $-301.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $350.36 28 $9,810.22
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET $357.64 28 $10,014.06 $10,270.80 +$203.84
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET $352.17 29 $10,212.79
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 11:35am ET $350.49 29 $10,164.21 $10,222.22 $-48.58
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $349.45 29 $10,134.05
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 29 $9,751.25 $9,839.42 $-382.80
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $348.82 28 $9,766.96
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $356.01 28 $9,968.28 $10,040.74 +$201.32
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $351.26 28 $9,835.28
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $340.42 28 $9,531.62 $9,737.08 $-303.66
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:15am ET $347.90 27 $9,393.30
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:15am ET $343.14 27 $9,264.78 $9,608.56 $-128.52
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $337.18 28 $9,441.04
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $344.10 28 $9,634.66 $9,802.18 +$193.62
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21h held
17 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $322.08 30 $9,662.40
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $328.58 30 $9,857.25 $9,997.03 +$194.85
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,997.03
Net Profit/Loss: $-2.97
Total Return: -0.03%
Back to Max Marathon