Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 05:44:43

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 27.1/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 21.2

30-Day Momentum

29
+4.3%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.7 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,645
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,995.74
Current Value
$10,662.28
Total P&L
$666.53
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
22
Winners / Losers
11 / 11
Best Trade
+8.59%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$466,548.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$666.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$666.53
Gross Return
+6.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $9,995.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET $41.71 239 $9,968.71
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $45.30 239 $10,825.51 $10,852.54 +$856.79
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET $44.33 244 $10,816.52
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2024 9:30am ET $44.15 244 $10,772.60 $10,808.62 $-43.92
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $45.26 238 $10,771.88
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 1:25pm ET $46.17 238 $10,988.46 $11,025.20 +$216.58
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:30am ET $45.39 242 $10,984.38
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 10:00am ET $44.00 242 $10,648.00 $10,688.82 $-336.38
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET $41.32 258 $10,660.56
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 12:35pm ET $40.04 258 $10,329.03 $10,357.29 $-331.53
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 12:35pm ET $39.63 261 $10,342.13
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 9:45am ET $40.45 261 $10,556.15 $10,571.31 +$214.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $49.89 211 $10,526.79
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET $52.28 211 $11,031.14 $11,075.66 +$504.35
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $51.94 213 $11,063.22
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $52.49 213 $11,179.31 $11,191.75 +$116.09
(+1.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 11:50am ET $53.23 210 $11,178.30
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET $51.56 210 $10,827.60 $10,841.05 $-350.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $51.60 210 $10,834.95
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET $49.93 210 $10,485.30 $10,491.40 $-349.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:35am ET $49.57 211 $10,459.29
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $48.06 211 $10,140.66 $10,172.77 $-318.63
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $47.10 216 $10,172.52
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $48.30 216 $10,433.34 $10,433.59 +$260.82
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $48.10 216 $10,390.36
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $47.15 216 $10,183.32 $10,226.55 $-207.04
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.38 215 $10,187.77
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.30 215 $10,384.50 $10,423.28 +$196.73
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $48.11 216 $10,391.76
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:35pm ET $47.88 216 $10,343.16 $10,374.68 $-48.60
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $49.15 211 $10,369.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $49.90 211 $10,529.95 $10,535.04 +$160.36
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $52.56 200 $10,513.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.36 200 $10,672.00 $10,694.04 +$159.00
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $54.27 197 $10,691.19
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $53.83 197 $10,605.49 $10,608.34 $-85.70
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET $53.54 198 $10,601.28
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $52.71 198 $10,436.58 $10,443.64 $-164.70
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $52.69 198 $10,431.63
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $53.88 198 $10,667.25 $10,679.26 +$235.62
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
21 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:10am ET $52.38 203 $10,633.14
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.92 203 $10,945.76 $10,991.88 +$312.62
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $53.17 206 $10,951.99
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $51.56 206 $10,622.39 $10,662.28 $-329.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,662.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$662.28
Total Return: +6.62%
Back to Max Marathon