GS Max Marathon's Analysis
to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 46 trades executed
-8.54%
2 Years Return
$9,336.18
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$10,208.25
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality
10.1/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 8.7
30-Day Momentum
3
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
45,334
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,208.25
Current Value
$9,336.18
Total P&L
$-872.08
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
45
Winners / Losers
23 /
22
Best Trade
+5.09%
Worst Trade
-5.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$828,376.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-872.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-872.08
Gross Return
-8.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $10,208.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $913.74 | 11 | $10,051.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $932.10 | 11 | $10,253.10 | $10,410.15 |
+$201.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $914.05 | 11 | $10,054.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $885.47 | 11 | $9,740.17 | $10,095.77 |
$-314.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $881.48 | 11 | $9,696.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $837.22 | 11 | $9,209.42 | $9,608.91 |
$-486.86 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $862.16 | 11 | $9,483.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $836.23 | 11 | $9,198.53 | $9,323.68 |
$-285.23 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $821.78 | 11 | $9,039.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $840.95 | 11 | $9,250.40 | $9,534.44 |
+$210.76 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $820.28 | 11 | $9,023.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $794.21 | 11 | $8,736.28 | $9,247.64 |
$-286.80 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $806.43 | 11 | $8,870.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $824.46 | 11 | $9,069.06 | $9,445.97 |
+$198.33 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:10pm ET | $838.60 | 11 | $9,224.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $803.59 | 11 | $8,839.50 | $9,060.87 |
$-385.10 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $803.37 | 11 | $8,837.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $822.60 | 11 | $9,048.65 | $9,272.45 |
+$211.58 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $866.40 | 10 | $8,664.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $840.31 | 10 | $8,403.10 | $9,011.55 |
$-260.90 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $861.38 | 10 | $8,613.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $905.24 | 10 | $9,052.40 | $9,450.15 |
+$438.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $898.34 | 10 | $8,983.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $868.87 | 10 | $8,688.70 | $9,155.40 |
$-294.75 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $900.51 | 10 | $9,005.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $919.35 | 10 | $9,193.50 | $9,343.80 |
+$188.40 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $931.12 | 10 | $9,311.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $950.75 | 10 | $9,507.50 | $9,540.10 |
+$196.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $932.49 | 10 | $9,324.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $936.42 | 10 | $9,364.25 | $9,579.40 |
+$39.30 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $928.85 | 10 | $9,288.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $900.40 | 10 | $9,004.00 | $9,294.90 |
$-284.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $922.42 | 10 | $9,224.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $942.20 | 10 | $9,422.00 | $9,492.70 |
+$197.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $933.73 | 10 | $9,337.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $927.82 | 10 | $9,278.15 | $9,433.55 |
$-59.15 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $967.00 | 9 | $8,703.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $936.54 | 9 | $8,428.86 | $9,159.41 |
$-274.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 2:00pm ET | $971.18 | 9 | $8,740.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $993.72 | 9 | $8,943.48 | $9,362.27 |
+$202.86 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,005.67 | 9 | $9,051.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1,025.99 | 9 | $9,233.91 | $9,545.13 |
+$182.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,061.66 | 8 | $8,493.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,084.86 | 8 | $8,678.88 | $9,730.73 |
+$185.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,057.11 | 9 | $9,513.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,025.36 | 9 | $9,228.24 | $9,444.98 |
$-285.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1,001.19 | 9 | $9,010.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1,021.90 | 9 | $9,197.06 | $9,631.33 |
+$186.35 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1,065.08 | 9 | $9,585.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,091.77 | 9 | $9,825.93 | $9,871.54 |
+$240.21 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,088.75 | 9 | $9,798.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,111.42 | 9 | $10,002.74 | $10,075.53 |
+$203.99 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,113.23 | 9 | $10,019.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,075.00 | 9 | $9,675.00 | $9,731.42 |
$-344.11 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1,076.82 | 9 | $9,691.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,101.17 | 9 | $9,910.53 | $9,950.57 |
+$219.15 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1,021.94 | 9 | $9,197.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1,020.47 | 9 | $9,184.23 | $9,937.34 |
$-13.23 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $1,052.05 | 9 | $9,468.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,018.01 | 9 | $9,162.09 | $9,630.98 |
$-306.36 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,045.53 | 9 | $9,409.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,094.27 | 9 | $9,848.39 | $10,069.59 |
+$438.61 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,101.02 | 9 | $9,909.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,062.02 | 9 | $9,558.16 | $9,718.57 |
$-351.02 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,068.53 | 9 | $9,616.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,092.48 | 9 | $9,832.32 | $9,934.17 |
+$215.59 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,074.25 | 9 | $9,668.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1,040.10 | 9 | $9,360.90 | $9,626.82 |
$-307.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1,034.24 | 9 | $9,308.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $998.52 | 9 | $8,986.68 | $9,305.34 |
$-321.48 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,023.38 | 9 | $9,210.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,049.94 | 9 | $9,449.50 | $9,544.42 |
+$239.08 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,068.11 | 8 | $8,544.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1,033.16 | 8 | $8,265.28 | $9,264.82 |
$-279.60 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,036.64 | 8 | $8,293.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,041.88 | 8 | $8,335.04 | $9,306.74 |
+$41.92 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1,021.92 | 9 | $9,197.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1,042.51 | 9 | $9,382.59 | $9,492.05 |
+$185.31 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,052.08 | 9 | $9,468.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,028.36 | 9 | $9,255.24 | $9,278.57 |
$-213.48 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1,004.27 | 9 | $9,038.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,030.22 | 9 | $9,271.98 | $9,512.12 |
+$233.55 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,029.48 | 9 | $9,265.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,019.71 | 9 | $9,177.39 | $9,424.15 |
$-87.97 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1,019.36 | 9 | $9,174.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $988.56 | 9 | $8,897.04 | $9,146.91 |
$-277.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET | $959.56 | 9 | $8,636.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $981.06 | 9 | $8,829.54 | $9,340.41 |
+$193.50 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $952.99 | 9 | $8,576.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $952.52 | 9 | $8,572.68 | $9,336.18 |
$-4.23 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,336.18
Net Profit/Loss:
$-663.82
Total Return:
-6.64%