Compendium › Max Marathon › IWM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IWM
Alpaca Tradeable

Max Marathon's Analysis

to 2026-05-29 19:55:00+00 • 22 trades executed

+9.31%
2 Years Return
$11,057.46
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,115.77
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-30 10:54:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
15.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.46%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.72
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.9
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 30, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.4/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
10.6/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 37.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 28.0

30-Day Momentum

23
+2.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.3 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
84,448
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-30 → 2026-05-29
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,115.77
Current Value
$11,057.46
Total P&L
$941.69
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
21
Winners / Losers
14 / 7
Best Trade
+4.08%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$430,808.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$941.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$941.69
Gross Return
+9.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $10,115.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET $220.73 45 $9,932.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2024 9:30am ET $221.40 45 $9,963.18 $10,146.10 +$30.33
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 9:30am ET $216.95 46 $9,979.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $215.84 46 $9,928.64 $10,095.04 $-51.06
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $197.07 51 $10,050.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2025 12:15pm ET $201.11 51 $10,256.61 $10,301.08 +$206.04
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $215.43 47 $10,125.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $220.03 47 $10,341.41 $10,517.28 +$216.20
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $261.60 40 $10,464.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $263.63 40 $10,545.00 $10,598.28 +$81.00
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $261.60 40 $10,464.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $265.07 40 $10,602.80 $10,737.08 +$138.80
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $262.75 40 $10,510.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $254.62 40 $10,184.80 $10,411.73 $-325.35
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:20am ET $261.58 39 $10,201.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 39 $9,797.19 $10,007.30 $-404.43
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $245.32 40 $9,812.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $250.95 40 $10,038.00 $10,232.50 +$225.20
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:20am ET $252.11 40 $10,084.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:20am ET $249.87 40 $9,994.60 $10,142.70 $-89.80
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $249.29 40 $9,971.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $241.77 40 $9,670.80 $9,841.90 $-300.80
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $248.56 39 $9,693.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $245.09 39 $9,558.51 $9,706.57 $-135.33
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $242.49 40 $9,699.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:00pm ET $247.42 40 $9,896.80 $9,903.57 +$197.00
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $245.32 40 $9,812.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $250.96 40 $10,038.20 $10,128.97 +$225.40
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $251.68 40 $10,067.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $261.95 40 $10,478.00 $10,539.77 +$410.80
(+4.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:45am ET $261.37 40 $10,454.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $267.31 40 $10,692.40 $10,777.37 +$237.60
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $277.11 38 $10,530.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $277.20 38 $10,533.60 $10,780.60 +$3.23
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET $274.90 39 $10,721.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $278.96 39 $10,879.44 $10,938.74 +$158.14
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
19 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $281.89 38 $10,711.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $285.04 38 $10,831.52 $11,058.44 +$119.70
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $281.36 39 $10,972.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:00pm ET $275.74 39 $10,753.86 $10,839.45 $-218.99
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET $273.64 39 $10,671.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:50am ET $279.23 39 $10,889.97 $11,057.46 +$218.01
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,057.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,057.46
Total Return: +10.57%
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