IWM Max Marathon's Analysis
to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 41 trades executed
+12.58%
2 Years Return
$11,388.21
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$10,115.77
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality
37.2/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 31.4
30-Day Momentum
2
-4.7%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,025
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,115.77
Current Value
$11,388.21
Total P&L
$1,272.44
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
40
Winners / Losers
23 /
17
Best Trade
+4.08%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$864,216.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,272.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,272.44
Gross Return
+12.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $10,115.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $220.73 | 45 | $9,932.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2024 9:30am ET | $221.40 | 45 | $9,963.18 | $10,146.10 |
+$30.33 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $216.95 | 46 | $9,979.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $215.84 | 46 | $9,928.64 | $10,095.04 |
$-51.06 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $197.07 | 51 | $10,050.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 12:15pm ET | $201.11 | 51 | $10,256.61 | $10,301.08 |
+$206.04 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $215.43 | 47 | $10,125.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $220.03 | 47 | $10,341.41 | $10,517.28 |
+$216.20 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $261.60 | 40 | $10,464.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.63 | 40 | $10,545.00 | $10,598.28 |
+$81.00 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $261.60 | 40 | $10,464.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.07 | 40 | $10,602.80 | $10,737.08 |
+$138.80 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $262.75 | 40 | $10,510.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $254.62 | 40 | $10,184.80 | $10,411.73 |
$-325.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $261.58 | 39 | $10,201.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.21 | 39 | $9,797.19 | $10,007.30 |
$-404.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $245.32 | 40 | $9,812.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $250.95 | 40 | $10,038.00 | $10,232.50 |
+$225.20 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $252.11 | 40 | $10,084.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $249.87 | 40 | $9,994.60 | $10,142.70 |
$-89.80 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $249.29 | 40 | $9,971.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $241.77 | 40 | $9,670.80 | $9,841.90 |
$-300.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $248.56 | 39 | $9,693.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.09 | 39 | $9,558.51 | $9,706.57 |
$-135.33 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $242.49 | 40 | $9,699.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:00pm ET | $247.42 | 40 | $9,896.80 | $9,903.57 |
+$197.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.32 | 40 | $9,812.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $250.96 | 40 | $10,038.20 | $10,128.97 |
+$225.40 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $251.68 | 40 | $10,067.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.95 | 40 | $10,478.00 | $10,539.77 |
+$410.80 (+4.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $261.37 | 40 | $10,454.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.31 | 40 | $10,692.40 | $10,777.37 |
+$237.60 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $277.11 | 38 | $10,530.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.20 | 38 | $10,533.60 | $10,780.60 |
+$3.23 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $274.90 | 39 | $10,721.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.96 | 39 | $10,879.44 | $10,938.74 |
+$158.14 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $281.89 | 38 | $10,711.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.04 | 38 | $10,831.52 | $11,058.44 |
+$119.70 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $281.36 | 39 | $10,972.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:00pm ET | $275.74 | 39 | $10,753.86 | $10,839.45 |
$-218.99 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET | $273.64 | 39 | $10,671.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $279.23 | 39 | $10,889.97 | $11,057.46 |
+$218.01 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $290.27 | 38 | $11,030.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $290.00 | 38 | $11,020.00 | $11,047.01 |
$-10.45 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET | $287.49 | 38 | $10,924.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $284.54 | 38 | $10,812.33 | $10,934.53 |
$-112.48 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $285.15 | 38 | $10,835.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $290.89 | 38 | $11,053.70 | $11,152.53 |
+$218.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $294.65 | 37 | $10,902.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.00 | 37 | $10,989.00 | $11,239.48 |
+$86.95 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $295.44 | 38 | $11,226.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $301.39 | 38 | $11,452.82 | $11,465.58 |
+$226.10 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $298.10 | 38 | $11,327.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $302.15 | 38 | $11,481.70 | $11,619.48 |
+$153.90 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $295.44 | 38 | $11,226.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.93 | 38 | $11,321.34 | $11,714.10 |
+$94.62 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $296.66 | 39 | $11,569.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.64 | 39 | $11,529.77 | $11,674.13 |
$-39.97 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $294.27 | 39 | $11,476.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.07 | 39 | $11,507.73 | $11,705.33 |
+$31.20 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $295.30 | 39 | $11,516.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $295.10 | 39 | $11,508.90 | $11,697.53 |
$-7.80 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $289.60 | 40 | $11,584.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $295.45 | 40 | $11,818.00 | $11,931.53 |
+$234.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $301.25 | 39 | $11,748.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $300.44 | 39 | $11,717.16 | $11,899.94 |
$-31.59 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $301.00 | 39 | $11,739.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.99 | 39 | $11,855.80 | $12,016.74 |
+$116.80 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $300.69 | 39 | $11,726.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $299.04 | 39 | $11,662.56 | $11,952.39 |
$-64.35 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $298.41 | 40 | $11,936.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET | $293.00 | 40 | $11,720.00 | $11,735.99 |
$-216.40 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $298.41 | 40 | $11,936.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $295.01 | 40 | $11,800.20 | $11,599.79 |
$-136.20 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $295.42 | 39 | $11,521.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $290.73 | 39 | $11,338.47 | $11,416.88 |
$-182.91 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 3:10pm ET | $289.13 | 39 | $11,275.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $282.56 | 39 | $11,019.84 | $11,160.84 |
$-256.04 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $282.88 | 39 | $11,032.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $288.71 | 39 | $11,259.69 | $11,388.21 |
+$227.37 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,388.21
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,388.21
Total Return:
+13.88%