Compendium › Mila Mildew › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Mila Mildew's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 24 trades in period

+5.13%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,007.36
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$8,567.96
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:37:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

13
-0.7%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,567.96
Current Value
$9,007.36
Period P&L
$439.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
15 / 9
Best Trade
+3.72%
Worst Trade
-3.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$422,620.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$439.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$439.41
Gross Return
+5.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Mila Mildew had $8,567.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:40am ET $200.71 42 $8,429.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $194.34 42 $8,162.07 $8,300.41 $-267.54
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $193.77 42 $8,138.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $198.21 42 $8,325.03 $8,487.10 +$186.69
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:40am ET $195.29 43 $8,397.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $199.63 43 $8,584.09 $8,673.50 +$186.41
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:50am ET $195.07 44 $8,583.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $199.40 44 $8,773.38 $8,863.80 +$190.30
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $203.61 43 $8,755.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:20am ET $208.26 43 $8,955.18 $9,063.75 +$199.95
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:50am ET $207.04 43 $8,902.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $211.20 43 $9,081.60 $9,242.63 +$178.88
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:45am ET $207.55 44 $9,132.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $200.23 44 $8,809.90 $8,920.33 $-322.30
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET $205.85 43 $8,851.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $211.65 43 $9,100.95 $9,169.52 +$249.18
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $209.62 43 $9,013.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $202.27 43 $8,697.82 $8,853.68 $-315.84
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $197.69 44 $8,698.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:20am ET $191.65 44 $8,432.60 $8,587.92 $-265.76
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:45am ET $195.74 43 $8,417.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $199.77 43 $8,590.11 $8,761.00 +$173.08
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $199.28 43 $8,569.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:10am ET $204.24 43 $8,782.32 $8,974.28 +$213.28
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:20am ET $209.33 42 $8,791.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $217.11 42 $9,118.54 $9,300.96 +$326.68
(+3.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:00am ET $221.79 41 $9,093.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET $219.80 41 $9,012.00 $9,219.64 $-81.32
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:15am ET $223.42 41 $9,160.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:15am ET $226.90 41 $9,302.90 $9,362.35 +$142.71
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $220.14 42 $9,245.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $213.19 42 $8,953.98 $9,070.45 $-291.90
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $220.14 42 $9,245.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $212.50 42 $8,925.00 $8,749.57 $-320.88
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:10am ET $225.27 38 $8,560.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $229.84 38 $8,733.92 $8,923.35 +$173.78
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $219.34 40 $8,773.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $223.79 40 $8,951.40 $9,101.15 +$177.80
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $227.21 40 $9,088.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $232.21 40 $9,288.40 $9,301.35 +$200.20
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:00am ET $229.51 40 $9,180.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $220.55 40 $8,822.00 $8,942.95 $-358.40
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:45am ET $219.77 40 $8,790.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 40 $8,448.00 $8,599.96 $-342.99
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:00am ET $212.80 40 $8,512.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $218.13 40 $8,725.20 $8,813.16 +$213.20
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET $218.99 40 $8,759.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $223.85 40 $8,953.80 $9,007.36 +$194.20
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,007.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-992.64
Total Return: -9.93%
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