NVDA Mila Mildew's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 28 trades executed
-4.23%
2 Years Return
$9,278.10
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$9,687.60
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
7.7/100
× Confidence 0.79
= 6.1
30-Day Momentum
31
+4.9%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.6
Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,622
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,687.60
Current Value
$9,278.10
Total P&L
$-409.49
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
14 /
13
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-3.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$494,722.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-409.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-409.49
Gross Return
-4.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Mila Mildew had $9,687.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $90.48 | 107 | $9,680.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $89.37 | 107 | $9,562.80 | $9,569.58 |
$-118.02 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $117.87 | 81 | $9,547.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2024 11:40am ET | $114.17 | 81 | $9,247.70 | $9,269.81 |
$-299.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 11:00am ET | $136.64 | 67 | $9,154.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:00pm ET | $131.85 | 67 | $8,833.94 | $8,948.86 |
$-320.94 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $186.56 | 47 | $8,768.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $191.74 | 47 | $9,011.78 | $9,192.32 |
+$243.46 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $182.54 | 50 | $9,127.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $176.75 | 50 | $8,837.50 | $8,902.82 |
$-289.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $190.19 | 46 | $8,748.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.98 | 46 | $8,876.85 | $9,030.93 |
+$128.11 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $185.98 | 48 | $8,927.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $189.79 | 48 | $9,110.16 | $9,214.05 |
+$183.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $187.68 | 49 | $9,196.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.07 | 49 | $9,460.43 | $9,477.92 |
+$263.87 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $187.68 | 49 | $9,196.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.45 | 49 | $9,528.05 | $9,809.40 |
+$331.48 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:45pm ET | $186.62 | 52 | $9,704.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $180.32 | 52 | $9,376.64 | $9,481.81 |
$-327.59 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $182.55 | 51 | $9,310.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $176.95 | 51 | $9,024.45 | $9,196.21 |
$-285.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $181.97 | 50 | $9,098.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $176.25 | 50 | $8,812.50 | $8,910.22 |
$-285.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $182.76 | 48 | $8,772.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $186.90 | 48 | $8,971.08 | $9,108.82 |
+$198.60 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:50pm ET | $183.78 | 49 | $9,005.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $187.58 | 49 | $9,191.42 | $9,295.02 |
+$186.20 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 11:15am ET | $182.46 | 50 | $9,122.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.63 | 50 | $8,831.50 | $9,003.77 |
$-291.25 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $181.97 | 50 | $9,098.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.38 | 50 | $8,869.00 | $8,774.28 |
$-229.49 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $175.18 | 50 | $8,759.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $178.90 | 50 | $8,945.25 | $8,960.52 |
+$186.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:15pm ET | $174.38 | 51 | $8,893.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $168.56 | 51 | $8,596.56 | $8,663.45 |
$-297.07 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $166.93 | 51 | $8,513.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET | $170.50 | 51 | $8,695.51 | $8,845.78 |
+$182.33 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $176.79 | 50 | $8,839.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $176.80 | 50 | $8,840.00 | $8,846.53 |
+$0.75 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $175.03 | 50 | $8,751.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.60 | 50 | $9,230.00 | $9,324.87 |
+$478.34 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $181.54 | 51 | $9,258.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $185.60 | 51 | $9,465.60 | $9,532.19 |
+$207.32 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $189.13 | 50 | $9,456.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $192.92 | 50 | $9,645.89 | $9,721.33 |
+$189.14 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $199.54 | 48 | $9,578.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $198.62 | 48 | $9,533.52 | $9,676.69 |
$-44.64 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $201.39 | 48 | $9,666.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $206.30 | 48 | $9,902.40 | $9,912.37 |
+$235.68 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $215.46 | 46 | $9,911.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $208.53 | 46 | $9,592.38 | $9,593.59 |
$-318.78 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $210.65 | 45 | $9,479.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $203.64 | 45 | $9,163.80 | $9,278.10 |
$-315.49 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,278.10
Net Profit/Loss:
$-721.90
Total Return:
-7.22%