Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:01:24

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

13
-0.7%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,798
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,269.81
Current Value
$9,007.36
Total P&L
$-262.44
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
63
Winners / Losers
36 / 27
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-3.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,141,704.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-262.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-262.44
Gross Return
-2.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Mila Mildew had $9,269.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 11:00am ET $136.64 67 $9,154.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:00pm ET $131.85 67 $8,833.94 $8,948.86 $-320.94
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET $186.56 47 $8,768.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $191.74 47 $9,011.78 $9,192.32 +$243.46
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET $182.54 50 $9,127.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $176.75 50 $8,837.50 $8,902.82 $-289.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $190.19 46 $8,748.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $192.98 46 $8,876.85 $9,030.93 +$128.11
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $185.98 48 $8,927.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:20am ET $189.79 48 $9,110.16 $9,214.05 +$183.12
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:50am ET $187.68 49 $9,196.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $193.07 49 $9,460.43 $9,477.92 +$263.87
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:50am ET $187.68 49 $9,196.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $194.45 49 $9,528.05 $9,809.40 +$331.48
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $186.62 52 $9,704.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $180.32 52 $9,376.64 $9,481.81 $-327.59
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $182.55 51 $9,310.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:55am ET $176.95 51 $9,024.45 $9,196.21 $-285.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET $181.97 50 $9,098.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $176.25 50 $8,812.50 $8,910.22 $-285.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $182.76 48 $8,772.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:55am ET $186.90 48 $8,971.08 $9,108.82 +$198.60
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $183.78 49 $9,005.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $187.58 49 $9,191.42 $9,295.02 +$186.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 11:15am ET $182.46 50 $9,122.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $176.63 50 $8,831.50 $9,003.77 $-291.25
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET $181.97 50 $9,098.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $177.38 50 $8,869.00 $8,774.28 $-229.49
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $175.18 50 $8,759.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $178.90 50 $8,945.25 $8,960.52 +$186.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $174.38 51 $8,893.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $168.56 51 $8,596.56 $8,663.45 $-297.07
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET $166.93 51 $8,513.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET $170.50 51 $8,695.51 $8,845.78 +$182.33
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET $176.79 50 $8,839.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET $176.80 50 $8,840.00 $8,846.53 +$0.75
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $175.03 50 $8,751.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 50 $9,230.00 $9,324.87 +$478.34
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $181.54 51 $9,258.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $185.60 51 $9,465.60 $9,532.19 +$207.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:25am ET $189.13 50 $9,456.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:35am ET $192.92 50 $9,645.89 $9,721.33 +$189.14
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $199.54 48 $9,578.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $198.62 48 $9,533.52 $9,676.69 $-44.64
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET $201.39 48 $9,666.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET $206.30 48 $9,902.40 $9,912.37 +$235.68
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $215.46 46 $9,911.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $208.53 46 $9,592.38 $9,593.59 $-318.78
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET $210.65 45 $9,479.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $203.64 45 $9,163.80 $9,278.10 $-315.49
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:30am ET $199.03 46 $9,155.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:55am ET $204.09 46 $9,388.14 $9,510.86 +$232.76
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
27 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $212.62 44 $9,355.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:50am ET $217.21 44 $9,557.46 $9,713.17 +$202.31
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
28 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:05am ET $221.02 43 $9,504.07 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $227.04 43 $9,762.72 $9,971.81 +$258.64
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
29 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:05am ET $234.15 42 $9,834.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $225.62 42 $9,476.04 $9,613.55 $-358.26
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
30 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $221.60 43 $9,529.01 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $226.38 43 $9,734.34 $9,818.88 +$205.33
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
31 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:40am ET $217.89 45 $9,804.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $210.88 45 $9,489.38 $9,503.36 $-315.52
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
32 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $211.85 44 $9,321.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $216.22 44 $9,513.56 $9,695.74 +$192.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:50am ET $219.96 44 $9,678.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $224.66 44 $9,885.04 $9,902.76 +$207.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $222.49 44 $9,789.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:20am ET $215.78 44 $9,494.32 $9,607.62 $-295.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $218.14 44 $9,598.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET $211.26 44 $9,295.22 $9,304.49 $-303.13
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $207.53 44 $9,131.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $200.29 44 $8,812.76 $8,985.93 $-318.56
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $202.75 44 $8,921.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:20am ET $207.00 44 $9,108.00 $9,172.93 +$187.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $212.14 43 $9,122.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $205.66 43 $8,843.59 $8,894.50 $-278.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $209.77 42 $8,810.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $202.00 42 $8,484.00 $8,567.95 $-326.55
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:40am ET $200.71 42 $8,429.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $194.34 42 $8,162.07 $8,300.41 $-267.54
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $193.77 42 $8,138.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $198.21 42 $8,325.03 $8,487.10 +$186.69
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:40am ET $195.29 43 $8,397.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $199.63 43 $8,584.09 $8,673.50 +$186.41
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:50am ET $195.07 44 $8,583.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $199.40 44 $8,773.38 $8,863.80 +$190.30
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $203.61 43 $8,755.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:20am ET $208.26 43 $8,955.18 $9,063.75 +$199.95
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:50am ET $207.04 43 $8,902.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $211.20 43 $9,081.60 $9,242.63 +$178.88
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:45am ET $207.55 44 $9,132.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $200.23 44 $8,809.90 $8,920.33 $-322.30
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET $205.85 43 $8,851.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $211.65 43 $9,100.95 $9,169.52 +$249.18
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $209.62 43 $9,013.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $202.27 43 $8,697.82 $8,853.68 $-315.84
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $197.69 44 $8,698.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:20am ET $191.65 44 $8,432.60 $8,587.92 $-265.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:45am ET $195.74 43 $8,417.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $199.77 43 $8,590.11 $8,761.00 +$173.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $199.28 43 $8,569.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:10am ET $204.24 43 $8,782.32 $8,974.28 +$213.28
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:20am ET $209.33 42 $8,791.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $217.11 42 $9,118.54 $9,300.96 +$326.68
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:00am ET $221.79 41 $9,093.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET $219.80 41 $9,012.00 $9,219.64 $-81.32
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:15am ET $223.42 41 $9,160.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:15am ET $226.90 41 $9,302.90 $9,362.35 +$142.71
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $220.14 42 $9,245.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $213.19 42 $8,953.98 $9,070.45 $-291.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $220.14 42 $9,245.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $212.50 42 $8,925.00 $8,749.57 $-320.88
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:10am ET $225.27 38 $8,560.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $229.84 38 $8,733.92 $8,923.35 +$173.78
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $219.34 40 $8,773.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $223.79 40 $8,951.40 $9,101.15 +$177.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $227.21 40 $9,088.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $232.21 40 $9,288.40 $9,301.35 +$200.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:00am ET $229.51 40 $9,180.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $220.55 40 $8,822.00 $8,942.95 $-358.40
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:45am ET $219.77 40 $8,790.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 40 $8,448.00 $8,599.96 $-342.99
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:00am ET $212.80 40 $8,512.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $218.13 40 $8,725.20 $8,813.16 +$213.20
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET $218.99 40 $8,759.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $223.85 40 $8,953.80 $9,007.36 +$194.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,007.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-992.64
Total Return: -9.93%
Back to Mila Mildew