Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:49:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 59%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
12.1/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 43.3/100
× Confidence 0.59 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (59%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,270
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,988.62
Current Value
$11,389.12
Period P&L
$400.50
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.44

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
+0.13%
Avg Trade Return
+1.21%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,313.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$400.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$400.50
Gross Return
+3.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rex Freefall had $10,988.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $259.98 42 $10,919.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $260.33 42 $10,933.65 $11,003.11 +$14.49
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $247.92 44 $10,908.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $251.19 44 $11,052.14 $11,146.77 +$143.66
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET $300.78 37 $11,128.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $307.33 37 $11,371.21 $11,389.12 +$242.35
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,389.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,389.12
Total Return: +13.89%
Back to Rex Freefall