Compendium › Rex Freefall › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Rex Freefall's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 9 trades executed

-1.83%
2 Years Return
$10,239.40
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,430.57
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:45

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
54.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,471
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,430.57
Current Value
$10,239.40
Total P&L
$-191.16
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+5.11%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$125,967.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-191.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-191.16
Gross Return
-1.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rex Freefall had $10,430.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $81.28 128 $10,403.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $85.44 128 $10,935.68 $10,962.41 +$531.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
42m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:10am ET $86.68 126 $10,921.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $83.95 126 $10,577.07 $10,617.80 $-344.61
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $85.79 123 $10,552.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 10:15am ET $83.11 123 $10,222.94 $10,288.57 $-329.23
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $116.40 88 $10,242.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $118.74 88 $10,448.68 $10,494.49 +$205.92
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 11:05am ET $113.34 92 $10,427.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 11:05am ET $114.01 92 $10,488.50 $10,555.70 +$61.22
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $106.38 99 $10,531.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:45pm ET $103.19 99 $10,215.32 $10,239.40 $-316.30
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,239.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$239.40
Total Return: +2.39%
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