Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:12

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
93.4/35
Total Return
40.0/25
Win Rate
66.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
40.8/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 50.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,594
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,556.70
Current Value
$10,606.69
Total P&L
$49.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+2.01%
Worst Trade
-0.94%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$63,181.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$49.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$49.98
Gross Return
+0.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Sage Serenity had $10,556.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 6, 2024 10:50am ET $41.41 254 $10,518.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2024 10:50am ET $41.02 254 $10,419.08 $10,457.64 $-99.06
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:30pm ET $37.63 277 $10,423.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:20am ET $38.39 277 $10,632.65 $10,666.78 +$209.13
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:10am ET $53.93 197 $10,624.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $53.63 197 $10,564.13 $10,606.69 $-60.09
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,606.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$606.69
Total Return: +6.07%
Back to Sage Serenity