Compendium › Spike Volkov › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Spike Volkov's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 15:40:00+00 • 13 trades executed

-2.83%
2 Years Return
$9,716.97
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:42:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 7.7/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,661
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,716.97
Total P&L
$-283.04
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+4.15%
Worst Trade
-6.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
12.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$262,179.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-283.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-283.04
Gross Return
-2.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Spike Volkov had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $7.57 1,321 $9,999.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:40am ET $7.88 1,321 $10,409.48 $10,410.43 +$410.43
(+4.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $6.63 1,570 $10,409.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET $6.91 1,570 $10,840.85 $10,842.18 +$431.75
(+4.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:50am ET $7.17 1,513 $10,840.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 10:50am ET $6.95 1,513 $10,515.20 $10,516.74 $-325.45
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $6.48 1,624 $10,515.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 1:50pm ET $6.27 1,624 $10,174.36 $10,175.70 $-341.04
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:05am ET $14.96 680 $10,172.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $14.49 680 $9,853.20 $9,856.10 $-319.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:25am ET $14.45 681 $9,843.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $14.78 681 $10,068.58 $10,080.83 +$224.73
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $14.02 719 $10,080.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $13.53 719 $9,731.66 $9,732.11 $-348.72
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $14.19 685 $9,720.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET $14.55 685 $9,963.33 $9,975.29 +$243.18
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET $14.86 671 $9,974.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $15.19 671 $10,189.14 $10,190.01 +$214.72
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $13.06 780 $10,182.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $12.60 780 $9,824.10 $9,831.21 $-358.80
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:10am ET $11.90 825 $9,821.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $12.31 825 $10,155.75 $10,165.34 +$334.13
(+3.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $12.75 797 $10,161.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 797 $9,516.18 $9,519.77 $-645.57
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $16.40 580 $9,509.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $16.74 580 $9,706.30 $9,716.97 +$197.20
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,716.97
Net Profit/Loss: $-283.03
Total Return: -2.83%
Back to Spike Volkov