Compendium › Spike Volkov › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Spike Volkov's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 14 trades executed

-8.63%
2 Years Return
$9,137.43
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:45:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 7.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,040
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
519 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2024-11-29 (no data), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,137.43
Total P&L
$-862.57
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+4.68%
Worst Trade
-9.24%
Avg Trade Return
-0.58%
Avg Hold Time
16.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$284,521.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-862.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-862.57
Gross Return
-8.63%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 519 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Spike Volkov had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $86.68 115 $9,967.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:45am ET $88.76 115 $10,207.40 $10,239.78 +$239.78
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 9:45am ET $88.45 115 $10,171.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2024 12:55pm ET $90.23 115 $10,376.45 $10,444.48 +$204.70
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2024 12:55pm ET $89.33 116 $10,362.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 10:35am ET $91.23 116 $10,582.68 $10,665.11 +$220.63
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $69.47 153 $10,628.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:50am ET $67.35 153 $10,304.55 $10,340.75 $-324.36
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $66.07 156 $10,306.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 9:30am ET $69.16 156 $10,788.96 $10,822.79 +$482.04
(+4.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:10am ET $412.58 26 $10,727.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:00am ET $421.58 26 $10,961.08 $11,056.79 +$234.00
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:00am ET $450.73 24 $10,817.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $460.01 24 $11,040.24 $11,279.63 +$222.84
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $441.21 25 $11,030.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET $426.03 25 $10,650.75 $10,900.13 $-379.50
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $400.82 27 $10,822.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $381.95 27 $10,312.65 $10,390.64 $-509.49
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $369.00 28 $10,332.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $357.85 28 $10,019.80 $10,078.44 $-312.20
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $360.75 27 $9,740.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 27 $9,319.99 $9,658.18 $-420.26
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:15am ET $324.42 29 $9,408.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $331.30 29 $9,607.84 $9,857.84 +$199.66
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $375.60 26 $9,765.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 26 $8,863.56 $8,955.80 $-902.04
(-9.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $410.10 21 $8,612.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $418.75 21 $8,793.73 $9,137.43 +$181.63
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,137.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-862.57
Total Return: -8.63%
Back to Spike Volkov