Compendium › Yuki Yielder › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Yuki Yielder's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 9 trades in period

-9.26%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,383.01
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,340.56
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 7.1/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,340.56
Current Value
$9,383.01
Period P&L
$-957.55
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+2.32%
Worst Trade
-4.75%
Avg Trade Return
-1.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$183,792.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-957.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-957.55
Gross Return
-9.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yuki Yielder had $10,340.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $47.56 217 $10,320.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $48.57 217 $10,539.54 $10,559.88 +$219.32
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $49.96 211 $10,541.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $48.44 211 $10,220.84 $10,238.95 $-320.93
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET $48.86 209 $10,211.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:45am ET $49.99 209 $10,448.64 $10,475.85 +$236.90
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET $48.60 215 $10,447.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:25am ET $49.66 215 $10,676.36 $10,704.29 +$228.44
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:15pm ET $51.64 207 $10,689.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $49.74 207 $10,296.18 $10,310.99 $-393.30
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:55am ET $49.18 209 $10,278.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.47 209 $9,921.44 $9,953.81 $-357.18
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $46.68 213 $9,942.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $47.66 213 $10,150.94 $10,161.91 +$208.10
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $50.35 201 $10,121.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $48.80 201 $9,808.80 $9,849.35 $-312.56
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $48.62 202 $9,820.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $46.31 202 $9,354.62 $9,383.01 $-466.34
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,383.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-616.99
Total Return: -6.17%
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