Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:04:04

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
74.9/25
Win Rate
87.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 69.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,993
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,212.00
Current Value
$10,893.96
Total P&L
$681.97
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+4.78%
Worst Trade
-1.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,327.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$681.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$681.97
Gross Return
+6.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yuki Yielder had $10,212.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2024 9:30am ET $479.58 21 $10,071.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET $502.51 21 $10,552.71 $10,693.63 +$481.64
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $570.61 18 $10,270.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $574.14 18 $10,334.43 $10,757.08 +$63.45
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $489.14 21 $10,271.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET $499.70 21 $10,493.80 $10,978.94 +$221.86
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:15am ET $500.84 21 $10,517.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:15am ET $493.35 21 $10,360.25 $10,821.49 $-157.45
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $502.60 21 $10,554.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $497.61 21 $10,449.81 $10,716.70 $-104.79
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $489.77 21 $10,285.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET $501.05 21 $10,522.05 $10,953.47 +$236.77
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $493.23 22 $10,851.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:25am ET $490.53 22 $10,791.66 $10,893.96 $-59.51
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,893.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$893.96
Total Return: +8.94%
Back to Yuki Yielder