Compendium › Reversion › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.59%
Last Month Return
$19,832.78
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$19,715.97
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:27:00

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 46.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 46.0

30-Day Momentum

9
+0.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.2 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$19,715.97
Current Value
$19,832.78
Period P&L
$116.81
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.21%
Worst Trade
-7.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$116,177.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$116.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$116.81
Gross Return
+0.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $19,715.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.04 41 $19,476.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $488.88 41 $20,044.08 $20,283.41 +$567.44
(+2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $521.06 38 $19,800.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $483.48 38 $18,372.43 $18,855.56 $-1,427.85
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $520.93 36 $18,753.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $548.08 36 $19,730.70 $19,832.78 +$977.22
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,832.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,832.78
Total Return: +98.33%
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