Compendium › Reversion › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-8.84%
Last Month Return
$10,291.28
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$11,288.84
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
7.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 24.6/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 21.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,288.84
Current Value
$10,291.28
Period P&L
$-997.56
Max Drawdown
-12.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-2.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-1.41%
Worst Trade
-4.48%
Avg Trade Return
-2.95%
Avg Hold Time
10d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$64,325.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-997.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-997.56
Gross Return
-8.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,288.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $261.60 43 $11,248.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $257.92 43 $11,090.56 $11,091.04 $-158.34
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $261.96 42 $11,002.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $250.22 42 $10,509.24 $10,597.96 $-493.08
(-4.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $253.43 41 $10,390.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $245.95 41 $10,083.75 $10,291.28 $-306.68
(-3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,291.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$291.28
Total Return: +2.91%
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