Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 36.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 36.3

30-Day Momentum

28
+7.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.7 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,936.07
Current Value
$15,075.84
Period P&L
$1,139.77
Max Drawdown
-26.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+6.37%
Worst Trade
-8.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.32%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$172,631.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,139.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,139.77
Gross Return
+8.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $13,936.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:10am ET $247.70 56 $13,871.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $263.48 56 $14,755.07 $14,930.26 +$883.87
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $247.50 60 $14,850.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $230.14 60 $13,808.40 $13,888.66 $-1,041.60
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $247.50 60 $14,850.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $261.48 60 $15,688.80 $14,727.46 +$838.80
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $263.67 55 $14,502.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $242.38 55 $13,330.90 $13,556.24 $-1,171.22
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $243.66 55 $13,401.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $258.01 55 $14,190.55 $14,345.49 +$789.25
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $318.37 45 $14,326.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $334.60 45 $15,057.00 $15,075.84 +$730.35
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,075.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,075.84
Total Return: +50.76%
Back to Reversion