Compendium › Reversion › BIIB
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BIIB
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+1160.99%
Last Month Return
$15,243.26
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$62.59
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.0/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 71.3/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 62.3

30-Day Momentum

27
+5.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-36 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,689
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$62.59
Current Value
$15,243.26
Period P&L
$726.66
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.50%
Worst Trade
-1.32%
Avg Trade Return
+1.36%
Avg Hold Time
10.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$116,161.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$726.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$726.66
Gross Return
+1160.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+1160.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $62.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $218.61 66 $14,428.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $215.73 66 $14,238.18 $14,275.04 $-190.08
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $218.61 66 $14,428.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $224.25 66 $14,800.50 $14,647.28 +$372.24
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $220.44 66 $14,549.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $217.57 66 $14,359.62 $14,457.86 $-189.42
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $216.46 66 $14,286.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $228.36 66 $15,071.76 $15,243.26 +$785.40
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,243.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,243.26
Total Return: +52.43%
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